Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
Brewers @ Cardinals – First Pitch: 7:45 p.m.
The Milwaukee Brewers are set to take on the St. Louis Cardinals in a thrilling NL Central battle. The Cardinals, with Jordan Montgomery on the mound, are heavy favorites at a -183 price. A total of eight runs has been set, with the FanDuel Sportsbook leaning toward the over at a -112 price. This showdown between division rivals is set to begin today at 7:45 PM Eastern.
The Brewers have struggled against left-handed pitchers, posting the highest strikeout rate in the league. Meanwhile, Montgomery boasts one of the highest strikeout rates, and both bullpens have performed well this year, ranking in the top ten for ERA and FIP. Therefore, runs could be scarce in this match-up, especially considering that Busch Stadium isn’t typically a hitter-friendly ballpark. As such, there could be value in betting on the under for this game.
Over the past 30 days, Montgomery has an elevated xFIP number of 4.57, with decent strikeout and walk rates. He has been effective against left-handed batters but has struggled against right-handers, yielding a .377 weighted on-base percentage. However, Milwaukee’s lineup hasn’t been particularly impressive against left-handed pitchers over the same period, with only Own Miller and William Contreras posting impressive on-base percentages.
Considering the Cardinals’ hot streak and the Brewers’ better record, the betting odds might suggest the Cardinals as the team with the better talent and potentially the better pitcher on the mound. Nevertheless, betting on the under in this game seems like a smart move. A final score of 4-1 or 4-2 could comfortably secure an under wager.
Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | +1.5 | -146 | O 8 | -115 | +144 | Open |
| -137 | 8 | -107 | +156 | Current | ||
| Cardinals | -1.5 | +122 | U 8 | -105 | -168 | Open |
| +115 | 8 | -112 | -183 | Current | ||
Projected Lineups:
Brewers
Starting Pitcher: Wade Miley: 3-2, 3.60 ERA, 5.40 K/9
| 1. | LF | Christian Yelich | .258, 7 HR, 23 RBI |
| 2. | SS | Willy Adames | .213, 7 HR, 23 RBI |
| 3. | DH | William Contreras | .257, 3 HR, 11 RBI |
| 4. | 3B | Mike Brosseau | .236, 4 HR, 8 RBI |
| 5. | RF | Brian Anderson | .243, 5 HR, 21 RBI |
| 6. | 1B | Rowdy Tellez | .256, 10 HR, 23 RBI |
| 7. | C | Victor Caratini | .273, 2 HR, 6 RBI |
| 8. | 2B | Owen Miller | .324, 1 HR, 7 RBI |
| 9. | CF | Joey Wiemer | .207, 3 HR, 12 RBI |
Cardinals
Starting Pitcher: Jordan Montgomery: 2-5, 4.11 ERA, 8.02 K/9
| 1. | 2B | Tommy Edman | .260, 6 HR, 17 RBI |
| 2. | 1B | Paul Goldschmidt | .319, 7 HR, 23 RBI |
| 3. | C | Willson Contreras | .250, 3 HR, 18 RBI |
| 4. | 3B | Nolan Arenado | .264, 7 HR, 30 RBI |
| 5. | CF | Dylan Carlson | .230, 2 HR, 12 RBI |
| 6. | LF | Juan Yepez | .240, 1 HR, 1 RBI |
| 7. | SS | Paul DeJong | .305, 4 HR, 7 RBI |
| 8. | RF | Lars Nootbaar | .310, 3 HR, 13 RBI |
| 9. | DH | Brendan Donovan | .254, 3 HR, 10 RBI |
Betting Insights:
Brewers
- The Milwaukee Brewers are 4-1 (.800) on the road as an underdog in their last five games in 2023
- The over hit in 4 of the Milwaukee Brewers last 5 games on the road in 2023
Cardinals
- The over hit in 5 of the St. Louis Cardinals last 5 games at home in 2023
- The St. Louis Cardinals are 1-4 (.200) at home as a favorite in their last five games in 2023
