New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
Yankees @ Blue Jays – First Pitch: 7:07 p.m.
We head north to the Rogers Centre for a clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees. In this matchup, runs are expected, and a lot of them. On the mound for the Yankees is Domingo German, going up against the Blue Jays’ Kevin Gausman. Gausman is a heavy favorite for Toronto at a price of -184, with the game’s total listed at 8.5.
Both teams have been swinging the bats well recently, with wins coming in bunches over the last 7-10 days. However, something has to give tonight, with the total set at 8.5. Gausman has been in excellent form, while German’s performance can be unpredictable.
Despite this, the Blue Jays seem overpriced, given the Yankees’ lineup and their recent form. With Aaron Judge appearing healthy again, the Yankees could be worth a play, especially in the first five innings.
Looking at German’s recent performance, his xFIP stands at 5.31 over the last 30 days, indicating some struggle, particularly against right-handed bats. Facing him is a strong Toronto lineup with powerful right-handed bats.
On the other hand, Gausman’s performance over the last 30 days has been exceptional. With an xFIP of 2.46, a strikeout rate close to 36%, and impressive numbers against both lefty and righty batters (.288 wOBA and .290 wOBA, respectively), he seems to be a deserved favorite for this game.
However, given the Yankees’ familiarity with Gausman and the recent awakening of their big bats, this matchup could lean toward the Yankees despite the pitching advantage favoring the Blue Jays.
Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | +1.5 | -139 | O 8.5 | -109 | +148 | Open |
| -138 | 8.5 | -108 | +156 | Current | ||
| Blue Jays | -1.5 | +117 | U 8.5 | -111 | -174 | Open |
| +116 | 8.5 | -111 | -184 | Current | ||
Projected Lineups:
Yankees
Starting Pitcher: Domingo Germán: 2-3, 4.00 ERA, 9.40 K/9
| 1. | SS | Anthony Volpe | .217, 6 HR, 17 RBI |
| 2. | RF | Aaron Judge | .274, 10 HR, 24 RBI |
| 3. | 1B | Anthony Rizzo | .308, 9 HR, 23 RBI |
| 4. | 2B | Gleyber Torres | .250, 6 HR, 19 RBI |
| 5. | 3B | DJ LeMahieu | .276, 5 HR, 18 RBI |
| 6. | CF | Harrison Bader | .333, 3 HR, 11 RBI |
| 7. | DH | Jake Bauers | .250, 2 HR, 4 RBI |
| 8. | LF | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | .182, 0 HR, 2 RBI |
| 9. | C | Jose Trevino | .202, 3 HR, 11 RBI |
Blue Jays
Starting Pitcher: Kevin Gausman: 2-3, 3.38 ERA, 12.56 K/9
| 1. | RF | George Springer | .219, 5 HR, 16 RBI |
| 2. | SS | Bo Bichette | .324, 8 HR, 27 RBI |
| 3. | 1B | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | .314, 7 HR, 25 RBI |
| 4. | 3B | Matt Chapman | .315, 5 HR, 22 RBI |
| 5. | LF | Daulton Varsho | .221, 6 HR, 16 RBI |
| 6. | DH | Brandon Belt | .244, 2 HR, 9 RBI |
| 7. | C | Danny Jansen | .182, 3 HR, 18 RBI |
| 8. | 2B | Santiago Espinal | .175, 1 HR, 7 RBI |
| 9. | CF | Kevin Kiermaier | .321, 2 HR, 12 RBI |
Betting Insights:
Yankees
- The over hit in 4 of the New York Yankees last 5 games on the road in 2023
- The New York Yankees are 2-6 (.250) on the road as an underdog in 2023
Blue Jays
- The Toronto Blue Jays are 10-3 (.769) at home as a favorite in 2023
- The over hit in 3 of the Toronto Blue Jays last 5 games at home in 2023
