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MLB · 2 weeks ago

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid-Staff

Yankees @ Blue Jays – First Pitch: 7:07 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Broken Clouds, 51°
 

The Toronto Blue Jays are set to battle the New York Yankees in the four-game series final, with Jose Berrios and Nestor Cortes as the respective starting pitchers. Being the home side, the Blue Jays are favorites at -140, with a higher game total of nine.

This season has been a rollercoaster for Yankees’ starter Nester Cortes. His ERA is just above five. Over the past 30 days, it’s been particularly rough for him, with an xFIP north of six. As a left-handed pitcher, his splits don’t look good either. He’s struggled against both lefties and righties, posting a .349 weighted on-base percentage and .333 ISO against lefties and .356 weighted on-base percentage and .220 ISO against righties.

The Toronto lineup is packed with power hitters, making the high game total unsurprising. Over Cortes’s last three outings, he’s allowed seven, two, and six earned runs, respectively. His only decent performance was against the offensively challenged Athletics, which could translate to at least four or five runs against a more formidable Blue Jays lineup.

Considering these factors, bettors could anticipate a high-scoring game, going over the set game total. This matchup looks favorable for the Blue Jays, given the struggles of the Yankees’ starting pitcher.

 

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

  Spread Total Moneyline  
 Yankees +1.5  -172  O 9  -106  +116  Open
-171  -102  +120  Current
 Blue Jays -1.5   +145  U 9  -114  -137  Open
 +144   -118  -140  Current

Projected Lineups:

Yankees

Starting Pitcher: Nestor Cortes: 3-2, 5.53 ERA, 8.93 K/9

1. SS  Anthony Volpe   .212, 6 HR, 17 RBI
2. RF  Aaron Judge   .272, 11 HR, 26 RBI
3. 1B  Anthony Rizzo   .302, 9 HR, 23 RBI
4. 2B  Gleyber Torres   .248, 6 HR, 21 RBI
5. 3B  DJ LeMahieu   .270, 5 HR, 18 RBI
6. CF  Harrison Bader   .300, 3 HR, 12 RBI
7. DH  Jake Bauers   .212, 2 HR, 4 RBI
8. LF  Isiah Kiner-Falefa   .200, 1 HR, 3 RBI
9. C  Jose Trevino   .219, 3 HR, 11 RBI

 

Blue Jays

Starting Pitcher: José Berríos: 3-3, 4.70 ERA, 8.61 K/9

1. RF  George Springer   .227, 5 HR, 16 RBI
2. SS  Bo Bichette   .319, 8 HR, 28 RBI
3. 1B  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.   .312, 7 HR, 26 RBI
4. 3B  Matt Chapman   .318, 5 HR, 22 RBI
5. DH  Alejandro Kirk   .227, 2 HR, 11 RBI
6. LF  Whit Merrifield   .269, 1 HR, 16 RBI
7. CF  Daulton Varsho   .217, 6 HR, 16 RBI
8. C  Danny Jansen   .188, 4 HR, 21 RBI
9. 2B  Santiago Espinal   .176, 1 HR, 7 RBI

Betting Insights:

Yankees

  • The New York Yankees are 3-6 (.333) on the road as an underdog in 2023
  • The over hit in 3 of the New York Yankees last 5 games on the road in 2023

Blue Jays

  • The Toronto Blue Jays are 10-4 (.714) at home as a favorite in 2023
  • The over hit in 3 of the Toronto Blue Jays last 5 games at home in 2023

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