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MLB · 2 years ago

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Cardinals @ Cubs – First Pitch: 7:40 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Few Clouds, 67°
 

The heated rivalry between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Chicago Cubs adds another chapter tonight. Two left-handed pitchers, Mike Montgomery for the Cardinals and Justin Steele for the Cubs, are set to duel on the mound. With the Cubs being the slight favorites at -104, it’s going to be an enthralling contest.

Steele has been exceptional this season, demonstrating solid pitching to both sides of the plate with an ISO power number of .125 to lefties and .073 to righties. His weighted on-base percentage stands at .271 for lefties and .233 for righties, making him a formidable force for the Cubs.

Montgomery, on the other hand, despite not having his efforts translated into wins, has been impressive. His xFIP stands at 4.30, and he’s kept his ISO power number to zero for lefties. Right-handed batters have a weighted on-base percentage of .304 against him, which is below average, and an ISO power number of .154.

However, the Cubs’ inability to capitalize with runners in scoring position has been their Achilles heel, leading to losses in one-run games. This is a trend they’ll be eager to reverse in their face-off against the Cardinals.

Weather conditions in Chicago are also noteworthy, with the wind blowing in at nine mph from right-center field and a temperature of 60 degrees. These factors, coupled with the ground-ball tendency of both pitchers (Steele at 52% and Montgomery at 48%), make the under a strong bet for this game.

 

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

  Spread Total Moneyline  
 Cardinals -1.5  +160  O 8  -104  -104  Open
+151  7.5  -103  -115  Current
 Cubs +1.5   -191  U 8  -116  -114  Open
 -180  7.5   -117  -104  Current

Projected Lineups:

Cardinals

Starting Pitcher: Jordan Montgomery: 2-4, 3.29 ERA, 8.34 K/9

1. 2B  Tommy Edman   .239, 5 HR, 14 RBI
2. 1B  Paul Goldschmidt   .308, 7 HR, 20 RBI
3. DH  Willson Contreras   .266, 2 HR, 16 RBI
4. 3B  Nolan Arenado   .232, 3 HR, 18 RBI
5. CF  Dylan Carlson   .236, 2 HR, 12 RBI
6. LF  Alec Burleson   .218, 3 HR, 8 RBI
7. SS  Paul DeJong   .350, 3 HR, 6 RBI
8. C  Andrew Knizner   .217, 1 HR, 4 RBI
9. RF  Lars Nootbaar   .288, 3 HR, 10 RBI

 

Cubs

Starting Pitcher: Justin Steele: 5-0, 1.45 ERA, 7.48 K/9

1. 2B  Nico Hoerner   .303, 2 HR, 19 RBI
2. SS  Dansby Swanson   .285, 3 HR, 13 RBI
3. LF  Ian Happ   .296, 4 HR, 18 RBI
4. RF  Seiya Suzuki   .253, 1 HR, 9 RBI
5. CF  Cody Bellinger   .291, 7 HR, 19 RBI
6. DH  Patrick Wisdom   .236, 11 HR, 21 RBI
7. 1B  Trey Mancini   .254, 3 HR, 16 RBI
8. C  Tucker Barnhart   .182, 0 HR, 2 RBI
9. 3B  Nick Madrigal   .273, 0 HR, 6 RBI

Betting Insights:

Cardinals

  • The St. Louis Cardinals are 4-1 (.800) on the road as a favorite in their last five games in 2023
  • The over hit in 6 of the St. Louis Cardinals last 18 games on the road in 2023

Cubs

  • The Chicago Cubs are 4-7 (.364) at home as an underdog in 2023
  • The over hit in 2 of the Chicago Cubs last 5 games at home in 2023