Dodgers vs Yankees Game 5 Prediction | World Series Picks Today, Best Bets
Grant White
Host · Writer
Let’s ponder the esoteric question that’s on every baseball fan’s mind right now. Did Aaron Boone learn from his Game 1 mistakes? The New York Yankees Manager lifted his ace after just 88 pitches in Game 1, causing a domino effect that resulted in losses in each of the first two games. Now, after Tuesday’s pivotal win, the Yankees once again turn to Gerrit Cole to try and force a Game 6 against the Los Angeles Dodgers. New York’s bats finally came to life on Tuesday night. The Bronx Bombers dropped 11 on the Dodgers, nearly matching their run production from their previous four contests combined. They’ll be looking to maintain that production against Jack Flaherty, who has labored through four postseason starts.
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Where to Watch Dodgers vs Yankees World Series Game 5
- Location: Yankees Stadium
- Time: 8:08 p.m. ET | Where to Watch: Fox, Sportsnet
- Spread: Yankees -1.5 | Moneyline: Yankees -136 | Total: 8
Dodgers vs Yankees World Series Game 5 Best Bet: Yankees -136
Flaherty escaped any major disaster in his first World Series appearance, but there are a few factors pointing toward another troublesome outing in the Bronx. First and foremost, the Dodgers pitcher has looked uninspired in the postseason. The soft-throwing righty has given up 20 hits and four home runs across 20.2 innings pitched. Moreover, he’s seen a decline in his strikeout metrics, going from a 10.8 K/9 rate in the regular season to 6.1 in the playoffs. Second, Flaherty getting barreled up more than most pitchers. His 7.7% barrel rate ranked in the bottom half of the MLB, which won’t play well at Yankee Stadium. Finally, Flaherty has an abysmal track record as the visiting pitcher in the postseason. Across four playoff starts on the road, the former first-round pick is 1-3, with a 7.20 ERA. 1.65 WHIP, and 1.4 HR/9. With the Yankees bats coming to life, Flaherty is in for another rough outing in Game 5.
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Dodgers vs Yankees World Series Game 5 Best Bet Total: Under 8
The silver lining for Dodgers fans is that they should have a rejuvenated bullpen for Wednesday’s tilt. Manager Dave Roberts avoided taxing his high-leverage arms in Tuesday’s defeat, meaning he’ll have free range to tap into whichever reliever is needed if Flaherty struggles. We’re also anticipating a longer leash for Gerrit Cole in Wednesday’s must-win Game 5 for the Yankees. The reigning AL Cy Young winner was pulled after just 88 pitches in Game 1, despite allowing just one run on four hits. Cole has been masterful in the postseason, going 9-6 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.02 WHIP across 18 playoff starts. That’s virtually identical to his standard at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees’ ace has a 3.11 ERA with a 1.03 WHIP across 63 starts at home. We’re expecting a dazzling performance from Cole, which should help keep this game under the total.
Dodgers vs Yankees World Series Game 5 Best Player Props
Giancarlo Stanton to Record a Home Run +285
While everyone is waiting for Aaron Judge to come to life, they’re overlooking some of the more notable accomplishments of the Yankees’ other top hitters. Included in that is Giancarlo Stanton, who had a four-game home run streak snapped in Game 2 of the World Series. Nevertheless, Stanton has promising analytics supporting him as an anytime home run hitter in Game 5. The Yankees’ designated hitter ranked in the 99th percentile in barrel rate, falling one percentile in hard-hit rate. Those metrics contributed to his .523 expected slugging percentage, which put him among the top 6% of hitters in the bigs. Stanton’s found his rhythm in the postseason, bolstering his playoff acumen. Across six playoff appearances, he has a .683 slugging percentage and 11.6% home run rate, making him the quintessential postseason performer. Flaherty was burned by Stanton in the series opener and he won’t be able to avoid his wrath in Game 5. We’re backing Stanton as a home run hitter on Wednesday night.
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