MLB Betting Guide for July 11: Skenes for All Star Starter?

We have a 12-game MLB slate set for today loaded with intriguing matchups, so let’s dive into everything the day will throw at us!

In the afternoon window, our eyes are set on Paul Skenes as he’ll take the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates on the road today to face the Milwaukee Brewers. Skenes is amidst one of the most impressive starts to an MLB career that we’ve seen thus far, and he’s earned his first of many All-Star nods in the process. Among the NL’s top pitchers, Zack Wheeler is likely not to pitch in the All-Star game while Tyler Glasnow is on the Injured List, and with Ranger Suarez slightly regressing lately, why not give the rook the starting role? As great as Chris Sale has been for the Atlanta Braves, Skenes up against the AL’s best hitters would be must-see TV.

Additionally in the early-window, the AL-leading Cleveland Guardians will also face the Detroit Tigers in an AL Central battle, while the New York Mets will look to sweep the Washington Nationals.

Shifting gears to the night slate, the Philadelphia Phillies will try to pull off the three-game sweep of the Los Angeles Dodgers with Aaron Nola set to take the mound tonight, eyeing to increase their cushion in the NL standings. The New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays will square off in an intriguing AL East tilt, so we worked up a +900 ultimate same-game parlay for the action.

It should be a great day of baseball, so stay with SportsGrid to be covered on everything. Let’s ride! 

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MLB Betting Guide for July 11

Tonight’s Headliners: Home Run Derby Analysis 

Catch Up on Yesterday’s Action: Mariners Defeat Padres | Phillies Beat Dodgers Again 

Tonight’s Best Bets: +900 Yankees-Rays SGP | Top Props 

1:10 p.m ET: Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers

• Run Line: Tigers -1.5 | Moneyline: Tigers -134 | Total: 8
• Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Comerica Park (Detroit, MI)
• Weather Notes: Clear, winds blowing out to center

Starting Pitching Matchup: Spencer Howard (ERA: 5.63; K/9: 7.88) vs. Jack Flaherty (ERA: 3.24; K/9: 11.63)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: Guardians ML (2.5-Stars, +114) | OVER 8 (1.5-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Guardians by 0.1 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Spencer Howard UNDER 3.5 Ks (5-Stars) | Jack Flaherty OVER 5.5 Ks (5-Stars, +124)

7:10 p.m ET: Washington Nationals @ New York Mets 

• Run Line: Mets -1.5 | Moneyline: Mets -134 | Total: 8.5
• Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Citi Field (Queens, NY)
• Weather Notes: Warm, clear, winds blowing out to left

Starting Pitching Matchup: MacKenzie Gore (ERA: 3.83; K/9: 10.72) vs. David Peterson (ERA: 3.58; K/9: 6.45)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: Nationals ML (2-Stars, +116) | UNDER 8.5 (3-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Nationals by 0.1 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Jacob Young OVER 0.5 Runs (5-Stars, +135) | JD Martinez OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars)

1:10 p.m ET: Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds

• Run Line: Reds -1.5 | Moneyline: Reds -200 | Total: 9
• Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Great American Ball Park (Cincinnati, OH)
• Weather Notes: Clear, winds blowing out to left

Starting Pitching Matchup: Austin Gomber (ERA: 4.47; K/9: 5.89) vs. Hunter Greene (ERA: 3.45; K/9: 10.01)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: Reds -1.5 (4.5-Stars) | Reds ML (3-Stars) | UNDER 9 (3-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Reds by 2.3 runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Austin Gomber UNDER 4.5 Ks (5-Stars) | Hunter Greene UNDER 7.5 Ks (5-Stars, +108)

2:10 p.m ET: Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers

• Run Line: Pirates -1.5 | Moneyline: Pirates -126 | Total: 7.5
• Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: American Family Field (Milwaukee, WI)
• Weather Notes: Dome

Starting Pitching Matchup: Paul Skenes (ERA: 2.12; K/9: 11.83) vs. Aaron Civale (ERA: 5.19; K/9: 9.00)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: Brewers +1.5 (5-Stars) | Brewers ML (5-Stars, +108) | OVER 7.5 (4-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Brewers by 1.3 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Bryan Reynolds OVER 0.5 HRs (5-Stars, +520) | Aaron Civale UNDER 5.5 Ks (5-Stars, +100)

3:45 p.m ET: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants

• Run Line: Giants +1.5 | Moneyline: Giants -120 | Total: 7.5
• Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Oracle Park (San Francisco, CA)
• Weather Notes: Clear, winds blowing out to left-center

Starting Pitching Matchup: Kevin Gausman (ERA: 4.64; K/9: 9.37) vs. Jordan Hicks (ERA: 3.47; K/9: 8.14)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: Blue Jays -1.5 (2-Stars) | Blue Jays ML (5-Stars, +102) | UNDER 7.5 (2-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Blue Jays by 0.8 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: George Springer OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +195) | Michael Conforto OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +195)

6:05 p.m ET: Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies

• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 | Moneyline: Phillies -156 | Total: 9.5
• Where to Watch: ESPN | Location: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, PA)
• Weather Notes: Warm, clear, winds blowing out to right-center

Starting Pitching Matchup: Landon Knack (ERA: 2.86; K/9: 8.05) vs. Aaron Nola (ERA: 3.48; K/9: 8.47)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: Dodgers ML (2-Stars, +132) | UNDER 9.5 (4-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Phillies by 0.3 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Will Smith OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +155) | Trea Turner OVER 1.5 Total Bases (5-Stars)

6:35 p.m ET: Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles

• Run Line: Orioles -1.5 | Moneyline: Orioles -130 | Total: 8.5
• Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Camden Yards (Baltimore, MD)
• Weather Notes: Hot, clear, winds blowing across from left to right

Starting Pitching Matchup: Justin Steele (ERA: 2.95; K/9: 8.74) vs. Albert Suarez (ERA: 2.48; K/9: 7.03)

SportsGrid’s Best Bet: OVER 8.5 (1-Star)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Orioles by 0.4 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Ian Happ OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +140) 

6:50 p.m ET: New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays

• Run Line: Yankees -1.5 | Moneyline: Yankees -126 | Total: 8
• Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg, FL)
• Weather Notes: Dome

Starting Pitching Matchup: Nestor Cortes (ERA: 3.41; K/9: 8.59) vs. Shane Baz (ERA: 4.50; K/9: 9.00)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: Rays +1.5 (4.5-Stars) | Rays ML (4-Stars) | UNDER 8 (2-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Rays by 0.6 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Trent Grisham OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +240) | Shane Baz OVER 5.5 Ks (5-Stars, +124)

7:10 p.m ET: Oakland Athletics @ Boston Red Sox

• Run Line: Red Sox -1.5 | Moneyline: Red Sox -230 | Total: 9.5
• Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Fenway Park (Boston, MA)
• Weather Notes: Warm, clear, winds blowing out to left-center

Starting Pitching Matchup: Luis Medina (ERA: 4.37; K/9: 6.43) vs. Tanner Houck (ERA: 2.68; K/9: 8.59)

SportsGrid’s Best Bet: OVER 9.5 (1-Star)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Red Sox by 1.6 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Rafael Devers OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars)

8:10 p.m ET: Miami Marlins @ Houston Astros

• Run Line: Astros -1.5 | Moneyline: Astros -196 | Total: 8.5
• Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Minute Maid Park (Houston, TX)
• Weather Notes: Dome

Starting Pitching Matchup: Roddery Munoz (ERA: 5.48; K/9: 8.12) vs. Jake Bloss (ERA: 4.91; K/9: 4.91)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: Astros -1.5 (4.5-Stars) | UNDER 8.5 (1-Star)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Astros by 2.1 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Roddery Munoz OVER 4.5 Ks (3.5-Stars, +124) | Jose Altuve OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +150)

9:38 p.m ET: Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels

• Run Line: Mariners -1.5 | Moneyline: Mariners -172 | Total: 8.5
• Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Angel Stadium (Anaheim, CA)
• Weather Notes: Clear, winds blowing out to center

Starting Pitching Matchup: Luis Castillo (ERA: 3.72; K/9: 9.05) vs. Jack Kochanowicz (MLB Debut)

SportsGrid’s Best Bet: OVER 8.5 (2-Stars) 

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Mariners by 1.2 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Luis Castillo UNDER 6.5 Ks (5-Stars) | Logan O’Hoppe (5-Stars, +195)

9:40 p.m ET: Atlanta Braves @ Arizona Diamondbacks

• Run Line: Braves -1.5 | Moneyline: Braves -132 | Total: 8
• Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Chase Field (Phoenix, AZ)
• Weather Notes: Dome

Starting Pitching Matchup: Max Fried (ERA: 3.18; K/9: 7.76) vs. Brandon Pfaadt (ERA: 4.19; K/9: 8.39)

SportsGrid’s Best Bet: OVER 8 (2-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Braves by 0.8 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Austin Riley OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +140) | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. OVER 1.5 Total Bases (5-Stars, +110)

 

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