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MLB · over 2 years ago

MLB Home Run Props: FanDuel Dinger Tuesday Best Bets (July 30)

Paul Connor, author

Paul Connor

Host · Writer

We went a perfect 2-for-2 in last week’s FanDuel MLB Dinger Tuesday, so let’s try and keep the momentum going!

Swing for the Fences with SportsGrid’s free daily MLB Game Picks and MLB Prop Picks.

Up first is the newly-acquired Randy Arozarena of the Seattle Mariners in the second game of a three-game set against the Boston Red Sox.

SEA Randy Arozarena (+340) @ Boston Red Sox

  • Arozarena has hit 16 home runs in 103 games this season.
  • He went 2-for-3 with a home run in last night’s series opener.
  • Right-handed batters are slugging .419 with ten home runs this season against Red Sox left-handed starter James Paxton (8-2, 4.43 ERA).
  • Paxton is posting a 47.1% fly ball rate this season to RHB.
  • Since 2022, Arozarena has slugged .518 with 20 home runs against LHP.
  • Boston’s bullpen ranks middle of the pack in ERA (4.12) and home runs allowed (45).

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BAL Gunnar Henderson (+460) vs. Toronto Blue Jays

  • Gunnar Henderson‘s 28 home runs this season rank fifth in MLB.
  • He is 3-for-6 (.500) with two home runs in his career against Blue Jays starter Chris Bassitt (8-9, 3.78 ERA).
  • Left-handed batters are slashing .277/.364/.433 with nine home runs this season against Bassitt.
  • Bassitt is posting a 40.8% hard-hit rate this season to LHB. 
  • Bassitt has allowed three home runs over his past two starts.
  • Toronto’s bullpen (5.03 ERA) has allowed an MLB-high 64 home runs this season.

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