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MLB · 2 years ago

MLB Picks Today, Best Bets, and Predictions: Padres vs. Cardinals

Sportsgrid Staff, author

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals 

Pitching Matchup: Joe Musgrove (4.43 ERA) vs. Andre Pallante (3.84 ERA)

The first two games of this series have exceeded the total significantly, yet today’s superb pitching duel keeps the over/under below nine, despite a 23-run total in previous matchups. Both pitchers are in top form, and strong bullpens should ensure a lower-scoring affair.

Joe Musgrove is hitting his stride, displaying the form that earned him an extension as a key Padres pitcher. After a dominant performance against the Mets, where his velocity and control were impeccable, he’s primed for another strong outing. The Cardinals’ struggles against right-handers, ranking low in key batting metrics this month, suggest they might find it tough against Musgrove today.

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Andre Pallante, boasting the highest groundball rate in MLB, faces a potent Padres lineup. Despite challenging recent matchups, his performance has been commendable, particularly with his ability to suppress home runs. The Cardinals’ bullpen, bolstered by rest and solid performances, alongside a capable Padres bullpen, supports a tight game.

With winds shifting to blow in today, the scoring environment is less favorable than previous games. Expecting strong innings from both starters and minimal bullpen leakage, we see a total closer to eight runs, making an under bet appealing.

Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-115) 

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The post MLB Picks Today, Best Bets, Predictions for Monday, August 26, 2024 appeared first on Just Baseball.