MLB · 6 months ago

Most Bet 2025 MLB Win Totals: Yankees, Dodgers and Red Sox Popular Plays

Sportsgrid Staff

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Most Bet 2025 MLB Win Totals: Yankees, Dodgers and Red Sox Popular Plays

The 2025 MLB season is approaching, and win total projections are shifting as bettors react to offseason moves and team performances. We’ll break down BetMGM’s notable line movements, the most popular bets, and key factors to consider before locking in your wagers.

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Notable MLB Win Total Movements

Biggest Increases

Arizona Diamondbacks: Opened at 83.5, now 86.5 (+3)
Boston Red Sox: Opened at 84.5, now 86.5 (+2)
Toronto Blue Jays: Opened at 76.5, now 78.5 (+2)
Chicago White Sox: Opened at 49.5, now 53.5 (+4)

Biggest Decreases

Philadelphia Phillies: Opened at 91.5, now 90.5 (-1)
Baltimore Orioles: Opened at 89.5, now 88.5 (-1)
San Diego Padres: Opened at 89.5, now 85.5 (-4)
Cleveland Guardians: Opened at 83.5, now 82.5 (-1)

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Breaking Down the Betting Trends

Teams Seeing Heavy Over Action

Cincinnati Reds (78.5)

Strong second-half performance in 2024 gives optimism.
Key acquisitions: Brady Singer (SP), Gavin Lux (2B), Austin Hays (OF), Taylor Rogers (RP).
Young core, led by Elly De La Cruz, Matt McLain, and Spencer Steer, continues to improve.
2024 finish: 77-85 with a +6 run differential suggests a higher ceiling.

Chicago White Sox (53.5)

Major roster overhaul with Martín Pérez (SP), Austin Slater (OF), Mike Tauchman (OF), Bryse Wilson (SP).
2024 was disastrous (41-121 record), but a 12-game improvement is reasonable.
3B Josh Rojas and OF Michael A. Taylor add much-needed depth.
AL Central remains weak, giving them a shot to outperform expectations.

Boston Red Sox (86.5)

Major acquisitions: Alex Bregman (3B), Walker Buehler (SP), Patrick Sandoval (SP), Aroldis Chapman (RP).
2024 finish: 81-81 with a +4 run differential.
Rotation depth improved significantly, making them a real contender in AL East.

Teams Seeing Heavy Under Action

Los Angeles Dodgers (104.5)

Added Blake Snell (SP), Roki Sasaki (SP), Tanner Scott (RP).
But Jack Flaherty, Walker Buehler, and Gavin Lux’s departures create question marks.
Winning 105+ games is a tall task, even for a powerhouse.

Cleveland Guardians (82.5)

Lost Josh Naylor (1B), Myles Straw (OF), Andrés Giménez (2B).
Added Carlos Santana (1B), Shane Bieber re-signed (SP), Paul Sewald (RP).
2024 finish: 92-70, but a negative run differential (-2) suggests they overperformed.

New York Yankees (92.5)

Acquired Max Fried (SP), Devin Williams (RP), Cody Bellinger (OF), and Paul Goldschmidt (1B).
Lost Juan Soto (OF), Gleyber Torres (2B), Clay Holmes (RP).
2024 finish: 94-68, but offense could take a step back without Soto and Torres.

Final Betting Takeaways

Best Over Bets: Cincinnati Reds (78.5), Boston Red Sox (86.5).
Best Under Bets: Los Angeles Dodgers (104.5), Cleveland Guardians (82.5).
Watch List: Toronto Blue Jays (78.5) – Max Scherzer addition could be a difference-maker.

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With teams making key offseason acquisitions and bettors reacting to 2024 trends, the MLB win totals market is more active than ever. Whether you’re riding the hype of the White Sox or fading the Dodgers’ high bar, there’s plenty of value to be found in the numbers. Choose wisely and bet responsibly!