Sportsgrid-Staff

Cincinnati vs. Colorado: Hitting Forecast and Game Odds

The best hitting environment on the MLB slate today belongs to Coors Field in Denver.
First pitch between the <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/mlb/depth-chart/cincinnati-reds-depth-chart">Cincinnati Reds</a> and the <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/mlb/depth-chart/colorado-rockies-depth-chart">Colorado Rockies</a> is set for 3:10 PM ET, with scorching 80-degree temperatures and double-digit winds blowing straight out to center field.
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With the weather heavily favoring hitters and two vulnerable pitchers on the mound, today&#8217;s game looks primed for an offensive explosion — but how high will the scoring go?
Swing for the Fences with SportsGrid’s free daily<a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/mlb/picks"> MLB Game Picks</a> and <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/mlb/player-props">MLB Prop Picks</a>.
<h2 class="" data-start="792" data-end="851">Weather Report: Perfect Storm for Offense at Coors Field</h2>
Today&#8217;s conditions in Colorado are exactly what hitters (and over bettors) dream about:
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Temperature: 80+ degrees
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Wind: 10+ mph blowing out
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Altitude: Always a factor at Coors Field
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Not surprisingly, the total opened at 10.5 runs and was immediately bet up to 11 across most major sportsbooks.
Whenever you combine hot air, thin atmosphere, and wind blowing out, it dramatically increases the likelihood of extra-base hits and home runs — even on mishits.
<a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/mlb/video/la-dodgers-chances-to-score-104-wins-in-2023">What are the LA Dodgers Chances to Rack Up 104+ Wins?</a>
<h2 class="" data-start="1353" data-end="1392">Pitching Matchup: Lodolo vs. Feltner</h2>
Today&#8217;s starters don&#8217;t exactly inspire confidence for under bettors either.
<h3 class="" data-start="1471" data-end="1504"><a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/mlb/players/nicholas-lodolo/58236">Nick Lodolo</a> (Cincinnati Reds)</h3>
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xFIP: 4.26
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Strikeout Rate: 15% (down sharply from 24% last season)
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Fly Ball Rate: 39% — extremely dangerous at Coors with today&#8217;s weather
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Vs. Right-Handed Hitters: .176 ISO allowed
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While Lodolo has improved his walk rate (3%), his diminished strikeout ability and fly ball tendencies make him a risky bet to contain runs at Coors.
<h3 class="" data-start="1862" data-end="1897"><a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/mlb/players/ryan-feltner/58556">Ryan Feltner</a> (Colorado Rockies)</h3>
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Walk Rate: 10% — dangerous against a patient Reds lineup
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Strikeout Rate: 19% — below league average
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ISO Allowed: .212 vs. lefties, .173 vs. righties
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Feltner struggles to suppress hard contact, and against a power-hitting lineup like Cincinnati’s, that&#8217;s a recipe for fireworks.
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<h2 class="" data-start="2201" data-end="2250">Betting Analysis: Expect Runs and Lots of Them</h2>
Given the combination of weather, ballpark, and pitching profiles, this game screams offensive eruption.
<h3 class="" data-start="2362" data-end="2385">Key Betting Angles:</h3>
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Over 11 Runs: Even at an inflated number, the over remains attractive.
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Reds Team Total Over: Cincinnati’s lineup, led by <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/mlb/players/elly-de-la-cruz/58212">Elly De La Cruz</a>, <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/mlb/players/austin-hays/57807">Austin Hays</a>, and <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/mlb/players/noelvi-marte/58216">Noelvi Marte</a>, is built for slugfests.
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First Five Over 5.5 Runs: Take advantage of shaky starting pitching before bullpens enter the equation.
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The Reds have right-handed and left-handed pop throughout their order, and Coors Field often leads to crooked numbers even against decent pitching — which is not the case today.
<a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/mlb/video/devin-williams-yankees-playoff-closer-controversy">Buy or Sell: Devin Williams Yankees Playoff Closer</a>
<h2 class="" data-start="2898" data-end="2939">Players to Watch for DFS and Prop Bets</h2>
Cincinnati Reds:
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Elly De La Cruz: Always a threat for multi-homer games, especially in power-friendly environments.
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Austin Hays: Excellent recent form, strong splits vs. righties, and great value in DFS.
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Noelvi Marte: Under-the-radar name producing a .429 ISO in a limited sample.
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Colorado Rockies:
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Look for mid-order bats like <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/mlb/players/ryan-mcmahon/58540">Ryan McMahon</a> and <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/mlb/players/kristopher-bryant/58546">Kris Bryant</a> (if active) to benefit from the weather boost as well.
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Target home run props and total base overs for key hitters today — the hitting environment is simply too good to ignore.
<a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/mlb/article/why-the-athletics-are-a-surprising-contender-solid-futures-bet">Why the Athletics Are a Surprising Contender &amp; Solid Futures Bet</a>
<h2 data-start="3526" data-end="3583">Final Thoughts: Load Up on the Over in Reds vs. Rockies</h2>
Today’s Reds vs. Rockies matchup at Coors Field offers the perfect storm for run-scoring: 
Hot temperatures, wind blowing out, thin air, and mediocre starting pitching.
Smart MLB bettors should confidently lean toward:
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Over 11 runs
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Reds team total over
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First five over bets
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With the right combination of weather and weak pitching, it wouldn&#8217;t be surprising to see 15+ total runs scored in this afternoon’s Colorado clash.
Stay ahead of the game and elevate your sports betting experience with<a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/"> SportsGrid</a>.
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The Cincinnati Reds are looking to complete the three-game sweep versus the Colorado Rockies. What should bettors expect in Sunday's National League showdown?

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