Tigers’ Kerry Carpenter is an Undervalued Fantasy MLB Asset
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
The Detroit Tigers were one of the biggest surprises in 2024, and while their young pitching staff grabbed headlines, it was their offensive production that turned heads. One of the key breakout players? Kerry Carpenter. The 27-year-old outfielder put together an impressive campaign, slashing .284 with 18 home runs and 57 RBI in just 87 games. Now, heading into 2025, the question is: Is Carpenter a hidden gem for bettors and fantasy players alike?
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Kerry Carpenter’s 2025 Projections: What to Expect
Carpenter’s early projections for 2025 suggest a full-season stat line of 22 home runs, 70 RBI, and a slight batting average regression. While these are solid numbers, the hitter-friendly Comerica Park could limit his ceiling compared to sluggers in smaller stadiums. However, his strong contact skills and ability to hit for average make him a valuable late-round fantasy option and an interesting target in the betting market.
Betting Angles: Where Kerry Carpenter Holds Value
If you’re looking to bet on Kerry Carpenter in 2025, consider these key markets:
1. Over/Under Home Run Total
Sportsbooks will likely set Carpenter’s home run total around 20-22 HRs. Given Comerica Park’s dimensions, betting the under could be the safer play unless he shows improved power early in the season.
2. Total Bases Props
Carpenter’s ability to hit for extra bases makes total bases props an intriguing option. He may not rack up home runs, but he will consistently provide doubles and singles, making the over on total bases a smart bet in favorable matchups.
3. RBI Totals
If Detroit’s lineup improves and he gets consistent at-bats in the middle of the order, his RBI totals could exceed projections. If sportsbooks undervalue him in this category, taking the over on 70 RBI could be a profitable wager.
4. Fantasy Baseball & DFS Value
Carpenter is not a flashy name, but he’s a solid late-round outfield option in fantasy baseball. He’s the type of player who won’t win you a league, but he won’t hurt you either. In DFS lineups, he’s a great play against weaker right-handed pitchers, particularly in ballparks that favor hitters.
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Detroit Tigers Betting Strategy: A Team with Upside
While Carpenter is a reliable hitter, the Tigers as a whole present an interesting betting case. The AL Central is one of the most competitive divisions in baseball, and Detroit’s young core could continue to develop into a playoff-caliber squad. If sportsbooks undervalue their win total, betting the over could be a smart long-term play.
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Final Thoughts: Is Kerry Carpenter a Smart Bet in 2025?
Kerry Carpenter may not be a household name, but his consistent production and solid batting skills make him a valuable asset. If he stays healthy and secures an everyday role in Detroit’s lineup, he offers strong value in fantasy leagues, prop bets, and DFS. While his upside is somewhat limited due to Comerica Park’s dimensions, he remains a key piece for the Tigers’ offensive success in 2025.
For bettors, the best strategy is to focus on total bases, RBI, and matchup-based DFS opportunities. As the season unfolds, Carpenter could become one of the most underrated players in MLB wagering.
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