Wells’ offensive start to 2024 has been rather unlucky. He is hitting just .207 with a .615 OPS through 40 games. In contrast, Trevino, who began the season much hotter at the plate, is currently batting .272 with six home runs in 44 games.
Although Wells’ numbers aren’t impressive, he has encountered some bad breaks at the plate. According to Baseball Savant, out of 39 catchers with at least 100 plate appearances, Wells ranks 38th in the difference between his wOBA and xwOBA, with a difference of -0.066. Expected (x)wOBA is calculated using exit velocity, launch angle, and, for certain batted balls, sprint speed to determine a player’s deserved offensive contributions per plate appearance.
Wells’ wOBA ranks 29th, while his xwOBA ranks 10th among that same group of catchers, highlighting just how "unlucky" his first full season in the majors has been. Hitters often experience periods where it seems like even their well-hit balls find the defense, and Wells appears to be in an extreme version of that situation.
Splitting time with Trevino means Wells isn’t a qualified hitter, but if he were, his 11.1% walk rate and 39.8% launch angle sweet-spot percentage would rank among the top 20% of batters in the sport. Combined with an average exit velocity and hard-hit percentage close to league average, his profile typically would result in one of the better-hitting catchers in the league.