10 seed - No. 10 Notre Dame at 7 seed - No. 6 Penn State
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish were on a bye week but have comfortably moved back into the playoff discussion by beating up on inferior opposition. Wins over Purdue, Miami of Ohio, Louisville, Stanford, Georgia Tech, and Navy have the Irish at 7-1 and ranked tenth nationally. They would play at No. 6 Penn State. The Nittany Lions are licking their wounds after another loss to Ohio State but need to refocus quickly. They will likely be hosting a playoff game if they can run the table. In this projection, they would be favored over the Irish and would advance to the Sugar Bowl to play Georgia.
Week 11: Florida State at Notre Dame (-25.5)