NFL · 49 minutes ago
Falcons vs Buccaneers: Best NFL Player Prop Bets on Kalshi
Paul Connor
Host · Writer
It’s an NFC South battle on Thursday Night Football as the division-leading Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6) host the Atlanta Falcons (4-9) to kick off Week 15 in the NFL.
The Buccaneers enter the contest as 4.5-point favorites, but the real value tonight lies in the individual matchups. Here are three player prop trades on Kalshi, with insights from our advanced model.
Prop #1: ATL QB Kirk Cousins | YES 0.5 Passing Touchdowns (-223)
SportsGrid Projection: 1.1
Analysis:
- Cousins absolutely torched the Bucs last season, throwing for a combined 785 yards and eight touchdowns in two starts against them.
- Tampa Bay has allowed the seventh-most passing touchdowns this season, giving Cousins a high floor even if the yardage total is lower.
Prop #2: TB RB Bucky Irving | YES 2.5 Receptions (-170)
SportsGrid Projection: 2.8
Analysis:
- Irving is averaging 3.8 receptions per game this season.
- The second-year back caught four passes against the Falcons back in Week 1.
- Atlanta ranks in the bottom half of the league in receptions allowed to running backs (59).
Prop #3: TB RB Rachaad White | YES 16.5 Rushing Yards (-108)
SportsGrid Projection: 23.1
Analysis:
- White was efficient last week, handling 11 carries for 53 yards while spelling starter Bucky Irving.
- On a short week, and with Irving playing just his third game since returning from injury (shoulder/foot), we expect White to remain involved in the rotation.
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