NFL Week 1 Most Bet Player Props: Gibbs and Njoku Seeing Action
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
The NFL betting market wasted no time heating up ahead of Week 1, with prop action flowing in on some of the league’s most intriguing pass-catchers. Bettors are heavily backing a mix of unders on high-volume tight ends and running backs while finding value in an over tied to a new-look Bengals offense.
Here’s a breakdown of the most bet player props by ticket count at BetMGM heading into Week 1, with context on production, matchups, and why the public is piling in.
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David Njoku – Under 4.5 Receptions (+110)
David Njoku was a steady option in 2024, hauling in 64 catches across 11 games for 505 yards and five touchdowns. His 97 targets showed real trust in the Cleveland Browns’ passing game, but volume isn’t the only factor in Week 1. With Cleveland opening at home against the Cincinnati Bengals, bettors are leaning toward Njoku finishing under 4.5 catches at plus money. The Bengals’ scheme often forces tight ends into shorter, less impactful routes, and if the ball is spread around, Njoku could fall short of this number despite his track record.
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Jahmyr Gibbs – Under 3.5 Receptions (-130)
Jahmyr Gibbs was a legitimate weapon out of the backfield for the Detroit Lions last year, catching 52 passes on 63 targets for 517 yards and four touchdowns. That efficiency has bettors cautious about Week 1. Facing the Green Bay Packers on the road, Gibbs draws a defense that tends to limit running backs in the passing game. With his line set at 3.5 receptions, the public is siding with the under, anticipating more reliance on the Lions’ wideouts in a high-stakes divisional opener.
Josh Jacobs – Under 2.5 Receptions (-150)
Josh Jacobs isn’t known for his receiving work, and last year’s numbers (36 receptions on 43 targets for 342 yards and one touchdown) highlight that trend. He averaged just over two catches per game, so a 2.5 line feels sharp. The betting handle leans heavily toward the under as the Packers host Detroit, with bettors expecting Jacobs’ usage to center more on early-down runs and red-zone carries rather than involvement as a checkdown option.
Mike Gesicki – Over 2.5 Receptions (-110)
Mike Gesicki was a reliable target in 2024, finishing with 65 catches on 83 targets for 665 yards and two scores. With the Bengals visiting the Browns, he steps into an offense that could funnel him steady volume as a middle-of-the-field option for Joe Burrow. Bettors are siding with the over at a reasonable 2.5 receptions price, seeing Gesicki as a key secondary weapon behind Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. If Burrow needs a safety valve against Cleveland’s pass rush, Gesicki’s over could cash quickly.
Sam LaPorta – Under 4.5 Receptions (-175)
Sam LaPorta’s sophomore season was almost as good as his rookie campaign. In Year 2, LaPorta had 60 catches for 726 yards and seven touchdowns on 83 targets last season. Still, with expectations sky-high, oddsmakers set his line at 4.5 receptions for Week 1 against Green Bay. The market isn’t buying volume that high out of the gate, especially with Detroit’s depth at receiver and Gibbs still drawing short-area targets. The under has become one of the most bet props on the slate despite LaPorta’s breakout profile, suggesting bettors expect him to make an impact more through efficiency than raw catch totals.
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