Philadelphia Eagles Touted as Underdogs Against the Green Bay Packers Packers on Monday Night

2025 NFL Week 9: Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles Betting & Fantasy Breakdown

Eagles Underdogs — But Is the Line Right?

The Eagles enter Week 9 as a 2.5-point underdog against the Packers, and the line has raised plenty of eyebrows. Nearly 84% of tickets are on the Eagles, yet the number hasn’t moved off 2.5 — a sign that oddsmakers aren’t buying the public confidence in Philly.

At face value, this spread suggests that Green Bay and Philadelphia are equal on a neutral field, which feels like a stretch. The Eagles have been inconsistent, but when healthy, they remain one of the NFC’s most complete teams. Meanwhile, the Packers have leaned heavily on their defense and running game while Jordan Love continues to flash moments of inconsistency.

Line Analysis:

• Open: Packers -2.5

• Current: Packers -2.5

• Ticket Split: 84% of tickets on Philadelphia

• Handle Split: 60% of money on Green Bay (sharp resistance)

The line’s stagnation despite one-sided public action implies sharp money backing the Packers. But stylistically, this sets up as an Eagles teaser candidate — a physical team in a game projected to stay low scoring.

The Case for the Eagles

Philadelphia may not have the star power it had a season ago, but this matchup plays to its strengths. The Packers’ offensive rhythm has been shaky without Tucker Kraft, and losing that red-zone target changes how defenses play Green Bay. The addition of Jordan Phillips gives the Eagles more pass-rush juice, but it’s unlikely to mask their recent tackling issues in space.

Fantasy Angle:

• Saquon Barkley (Eagles RB) continues to find his footing post-hamstring tweak and should see 18–20 touches here.

• A.J. Brown remains matchup-proof, though Green Bay’s corner tandem could limit his ceiling to WR2 output.

• Dallas Goedert remains a solid TE1 option with red-zone equity.

This is a spot where Jalen Hurts can control tempo with his legs and play-action. Expect short fields and long drives — classic “ugly cover” potential for Philly backers.

Verdict: The value lies with the Eagles +2.5, or better yet, teased up to +8.5.

The Case for the Packers

From a betting perspective, the Packers are the sharp side, but they’ll need Jordan Love to manage the ball better than he has in recent weeks. Green Bay’s defense ranks top-five in opponent red-zone efficiency, and that bend-but-don’t-break approach keeps them alive even when the offense stalls.

With Josh Jacobs back at full strength, the Packers should lean on the run early and often, using play action to find Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs in the intermediate zones. The matchup isn’t easy, but the Packers’ offensive line has protected better at home, and that’s key against a Philadelphia front that still ranks top-three in QB pressures.

Fantasy Outlook:

• Josh Jacobs: RB2 with touchdown upside.

• Christian Watson: Solid WR3 in PPR with 6–8 target potential.

• Romeo Doubs: TD-dependent flex.

Verdict: If you like Green Bay, bet them on the moneyline (-135). Laying 2.5 carries push risk in what profiles as a one-possession grinder.

Betting Element: How to Play It

This matchup screams teaser and total value.

• Game Total: 43.0

• Lean: Under 43

• Key Factors: Two top-10 defenses in red-zone efficiency and both teams struggling to create explosive passing plays (each averaging under 6.5 yards per attempt).

Best Bets:

• Eagles +8.5 (Teaser leg)

• Under 43 (-110)

• Jacobs Anytime TD (+115)

• Saquon Barkley Over 85.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-120)

This sets up as a physical, low-scoring NFC slugfest — the type of game where field goals matter and turnover luck decides it late.

Prediction: Defense Decides It Late

Green Bay’s defense has been reliable at Lambeau, but the Eagles have the better two-way roster, even as road dogs. If Hurts avoids turnovers and the Eagles’ secondary limits Love’s deep shots, this feels like a game Philadelphia can grind out behind Barkley’s volume and a steady front-four pass rush.

Projected Score:

Eagles 23, Packers 20

Final Picks:

• Eagles +2.5

• Under 43

• Eagles +8.5 (Teaser leg)

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