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MLB · 2 years ago

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Oakland Athletics Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Oakland Athletics Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Diamondbacks @ Athletics – First Pitch: 9:40 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Clear Sky, 61°
 

The Oakland Athletics are set to face the Arizona Diamondbacks in what might initially seem like an unremarkable matchup. However, for those seeking to make a calculated risk, this game could present an intriguing betting opportunity. With the Diamondbacks positioned as favorites at a -155 price, the Athletics come in as underdogs at +134 on the moneyline. The total for this game is set at 9, pointing to a potentially high-scoring affair.

The A’s have had a challenging season so far, but betting against them has proven to be a profitable strategy. Yet, it’s worth considering that both starting pitchers – Kyle Muller for Oakland and Tommy Henry for the Diamondbacks – have been struggling lately. Muller’s xFIP over the past 30 days is a high 6.65, and he has a strikeout rate of just 13%. Even more concerning is his weighted on-base percentage against both lefties (.472) and righties (.432), which is uncharacteristically high for a Major League pitcher.

On the other side, Henry’s xFIP over the past 30 days is equally concerning at 6.35. Both these pitchers are left-handed, and their combined xFIPs are over 6.5, suggesting a potential slugfest in this game. We’re leaning to the over.

However, it’s worth noting that betting on high totals at Oakland Alameda County Coliseum is always a risky proposition due to its pitcher-friendly environment. Furthermore, the Diamondbacks’ offensive performance tends to dip on the road. Therefore, while the numbers might suggest an over, it’s not a foregone conclusion.

Given these factors, one could lean towards the over in this matchup, but caution is advised when betting on the Diamondbacks at their current price. Despite Oakland’s struggles, they could surprise, especially given the potential vulnerabilities in Arizona’s pitching. As always, the Athletics’ games continue to provide intriguing, if not always predictable, betting opportunities.

 

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

  Spread Total Moneyline  
 Diamondbacks -1.5  +118  O 9  -105  -141  Open
+103  -112  -155  Current
 Athletics +1.5   -140  U 9  -114  +121  Open
 -123   -107  +134  Current

Projected Lineups:

Diamondbacks

Starting Pitcher: Tommy Henry: 1-1, 4.43 ERA, 3.63 K/9

1. 2B  Ketel Marte   .262, 5 HR, 16 RBI
2. DH  Emmanuel Rivera   .341, 1 HR, 5 RBI
3. LF  Lourdes Gurriel Jr.   .309, 6 HR, 23 RBI
4. 1B  Christian Walker   .264, 9 HR, 28 RBI
5. 3B  Evan Longoria   .221, 5 HR, 8 RBI
6. RF  Corbin Carroll   .278, 5 HR, 12 RBI
7. SS  Nick Ahmed   .264, 1 HR, 9 RBI
8. C  Gabriel Moreno   .321, 1 HR, 16 RBI
9. CF  Alek Thomas   .195, 2 HR, 10 RBI

 

Athletics

Starting Pitcher: Kyle Muller: 1-3, 7.34 ERA, 6.39 K/9

1. CF  Esteury Ruiz   .269, 1 HR, 21 RBI
2. DH  Carlos Pérez   .311, 3 HR, 7 RBI
3. LF  Brent Rooker   .298, 11 HR, 29 RBI
4. 1B  Jesús Aguilar   .237, 5 HR, 9 RBI
5. 3B  Aledmys Díaz   .167, 1 HR, 6 RBI
6. RF  Ramón Laureano   .229, 3 HR, 6 RBI
7. 2B  Jordan Diaz   .230, 4 HR, 8 RBI
8. C  Shea Langeliers   .227, 7 HR, 20 RBI
9. SS  Nick Allen   .182, 0 HR, 1 RBI

Betting Insights:

Diamondbacks

  • The over hit in 4 of the Arizona Diamondbacks last 5 games on the road in 2023
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks are 2-3 (.400) on the road as a favorite in their last five games since the start of 2022

Athletics

  • The Oakland Athletics are 4-19 (.174) at home as an underdog in 2023
  • The over hit in 2 of the Oakland Athletics last 5 games at home in 2023