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MLB · 3 weeks ago

Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid-Staff

Red Sox @ Braves – First Pitch: 7:20 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Overcast Clouds, 78°
 

With an intriguing match-up between the Boston Red Sox and the Atlanta Braves, today’s MLB game promises to be a betting bonanza. The starting pitchers haven’t been officially announced, but it looks like Brayan Bello will take the mound for the Red Sox. Bello’s 3.93 xFIP this season has been tempered by his struggles against left-handed and right-handed batters, posting a .370 and .386 weighted on-base percentage, respectively.

Atlanta’s pitcher is still uncertain, but if Jared Shuster gets the nod, we may be in for a high-scoring game. He’s had a challenging season so far, allowing an 8.5 xFIP over 45 batters faced. However, the Braves potent lineup could counterbalance this, as they have shown an impressive ability to put the ball into play and score runs.

The Red Sox could benefit from the absence of Freddie Freeman from the Braves roster, turning this into a golden opportunity for them to capitalize on Atlanta’s pitching woes. As such, betting on the over seems like a promising strategy, given the current pitching situation and Atlanta’s offensive prowess.

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

  Spread Total Moneyline  
 Red Sox +1.5  -148  O 10  -105  +137  Open
-142  10  -107  +135  Current
 Braves -1.5   +126  U 10  -117  -160  Open
 +121  10   -115  -159  Current

Projected Lineups:

Red Sox

Starting Pitcher: Brayan Bello: 1-1, 5.71 ERA, 9.87 K/9

1. RF  Alex Verdugo   .317, 5 HR, 18 RBI
2. 1B  Justin Turner   .273, 3 HR, 14 RBI
3. LF  Rob Refsnyder   .236, 1 HR, 12 RBI
4. 3B  Rafael Devers   .245, 11 HR, 34 RBI
5. SS  Enrique Hernández   .238, 3 HR, 13 RBI
6. DH  Masataka Yoshida   .308, 6 HR, 24 RBI
7. 2B  Enmanuel Valdez   .325, 1 HR, 6 RBI
8. C  Connor Wong   .257, 3 HR, 10 RBI
9. CF  Jarren Duran   .360, 2 HR, 13 RBI

Braves

1. RF  Ronald Acuña Jr.   .343, 6 HR, 21 RBI
2. 1B  Matt Olson   .250, 11 HR, 29 RBI
3. 3B  Austin Riley   .239, 6 HR, 18 RBI
4. C  Sean Murphy   .299, 9 HR, 32 RBI
5. DH  Eddie Rosario   .248, 3 HR, 10 RBI
6. 2B  Ozzie Albies   .280, 9 HR, 27 RBI
7. SS  Orlando Arcia   .358, 2 HR, 8 RBI
8. CF  Michael Harris II   .208, 1 HR, 4 RBI
9. LF  Kevin Pillar   .270, 3 HR, 10 RBI

Betting Insights:

Red Sox

  • The over hit in 12 of the Boston Red Sox last 17 games on the road in 2023
  • The Boston Red Sox are 5-8 (.385) on the road as an underdog in 2023

Braves

  • The over hit in 4 of the Atlanta Braves last 5 games at home in 2023
  • The Atlanta Braves are 3-2 (.600) at home as a favorite in their last five games in 2023

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