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MLB · 3 weeks ago

Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid-Staff

Reds @ Rockies – First Pitch: 8:40 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Light Rain, 64°
 

The Reds vs. Rockies MLB showdown is one to watch, with the classic high-scoring Coors Field totals firmly in place. Hunter Greene, the Reds’ starter, surprisingly enters this game as a road favorite (-125). However, the eye-popping total of 11.5 for the game adds a layer of excitement.

Greene’s recent stats indicate that he’s had a rough patch over the past 30 days. His xFIP is hovering close to 5, which is not what we’d expect from a pitcher of his caliber. What’s intriguing is his success against left-handed batters, holding them to a .237 weighted on-base percentage (wOBA) over the last month from 54 at-bats. However, right-handed hitters have given him trouble, posting a substantial .398 wOBA with an ISO of .240. This could spell trouble at Coors Field.

Checking on the weather, it’s not an ideal day for a game in Colorado. With temperatures hovering around 64 degrees and potential showers, it’s far from the usual 75 to 80-degree conditions that usually fuel high-scoring games.

On the Rockies side, Connor Seabold has had a rough 30 days as well, with a high xFIP of 5.64. His wOBA against lefties is a whopping .338, and righties are hitting him at a .361 clip. Both pitchers seem likely to be hit tonight, but the weather conditions might play a crucial role in the game’s outcome.

This matchup between the Reds and the Rockies promises intrigue, despite the less-than-ideal weather conditions. It’s a meeting of struggling pitchers in a traditionally high-scoring venue, adding an extra layer of suspense.

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

  Spread Total Moneyline  
 Reds -1.5  +130  O 11.5  -106  -120  Open
+120  11.5  -105  -125  Current
 Rockies +1.5   -155  U 11.5  -113  +101  Open
 -143  11.5   -114  +106  Current

Projected Lineups:

Reds

Starting Pitcher: Hunter Greene: 0-3, 3.69 ERA, 11.77 K/9

1. 2B  Jonathan India   .295, 3 HR, 17 RBI
2. 3B  Spencer Steer   .241, 5 HR, 15 RBI
3. C  Curt Casali   .158, 0 HR, 0 RBI
4. LF  Jake Fraley   .267, 5 HR, 28 RBI
5. CF  Nick Senzel   .271, 3 HR, 15 RBI
6. 1B  Wil Myers   .202, 3 HR, 10 RBI
7. RF  Henry Ramos   .232, 0 HR, 4 RBI
8. DH  Tyler Stephenson   .257, 2 HR, 15 RBI
9. SS  Jose Barrero   .223, 1 HR, 11 RBI

Rockies

Starting Pitcher: Connor Seabold: 1-0, 4.56 ERA, 6.46 K/9

1. DH  Charlie Blackmon   .282, 3 HR, 14 RBI
2. LF  Jurickson Profar   .230, 5 HR, 15 RBI
3. RF  Kris Bryant   .301, 5 HR, 14 RBI
4. 1B  C.J. Cron   .228, 6 HR, 20 RBI
5. C  Elias Díaz   .328, 3 HR, 18 RBI
6. 3B  Ryan McMahon   .218, 4 HR, 17 RBI
7. 2B  Harold Castro   .222, 0 HR, 9 RBI
8. CF  Brenton Doyle   .205, 2 HR, 6 RBI
9. SS  Ezequiel Tovar   .220, 2 HR, 18 RBI

Betting Insights:

Reds

  • The over hit in 2 of the Cincinnati Reds last 5 games on the road in 2023

Rockies

  • The over hit in 1 of the Colorado Rockies last 5 games at home in 2023
  • The Colorado Rockies are 3-2 (.600) at home as an underdog in their last five games in 2023

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