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MLB · 2 weeks ago

Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid-Staff

Angels @ Guardians – First Pitch: 7:10 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Overcast Clouds, 66°
 

We take a look at a matchup that might seem unattractive to many, the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim versus the Cleveland Guardians. The Angels, despite boasting the greatest player in baseball, Shohei Otani, and multiple-time American League MVP, Mike Trout, have a lineup filled with “just a bunch of guys”.

The money line for this game is very narrow, with the Angels at +115 and the Guardians at -136. Essentially, this is a coin-flip game. The total for this game stands at 8.5, pointing towards a moderate-scoring game.

On the mound for the Angels is Tyler Anderson, who was signed away from the Dodgers last season, and for the Guardians, Logan Allen. The game features two lefties, which traditionally leans towards an over.

Looking at the model’s predictions for the Angels-Guardians game, it likes the over, aligning with the two-lefties theory. Furthermore, the model favors the Angels with a win probability of 55%. For a coin flip road game, this is a substantial edge and worth noting for bettors.

The matchup becomes more interesting when analyzing the teams’ performance against lefties. The Guardians have shown a clear struggle against left-handed pitching, with their team having difficulty hitting fastballs. On the contrary, the Angels, despite their inconsistent hitting, perform significantly better against left-handers and have shown strength against fastball and changeup pitches. This could prove beneficial for them as they face a left-handed pitcher who predominantly uses fastballs and changeups.

In conclusion, the Angels seem to be in a promising position to secure a win in this game. 

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

  Spread Total Moneyline  
 Angels +1.5  -197  O 8.5  -107  +101  Open
-183  8.5  -117  +115  Current
 Guardians -1.5   +163  U 8.5  -112  -118  Open
 +154  8.5   -103  -136  Current

Projected Lineups:

Angels

Starting Pitcher: Tyler Anderson: 1-0, 5.40 ERA, 6.82 K/9

1. LF  Taylor Ward   .234, 4 HR, 15 RBI
2. CF  Mike Trout   .288, 8 HR, 20 RBI
3. DH  Shohei Ohtani   .293, 8 HR, 24 RBI
4. 3B  Anthony Rendon   .292, 1 HR, 19 RBI
5. RF  Hunter Renfroe   .257, 10 HR, 26 RBI
6. 2B  Brandon Drury   .224, 7 HR, 20 RBI
7. 1B  Gio Urshela   .302, 1 HR, 12 RBI
8. C  Chris Okey   .000, 0 HR, 0 RBI
9. SS  Zach Neto   .235, 1 HR, 8 RBI

Guardians

Starting Pitcher: Logan Allen: 1-1, 2.70 ERA, 10.26 K/9

1. LF  Steven Kwan   .265, 1 HR, 12 RBI
2. SS  Amed Rosario   .234, 1 HR, 7 RBI
3. 3B  José Ramírez   .270, 4 HR, 20 RBI
4. DH  Josh Bell   .219, 3 HR, 16 RBI
5. 2B  Andrés Giménez   .214, 2 HR, 8 RBI
6. RF  Will Brennan   .208, 1 HR, 10 RBI
7. CF  Myles Straw   .229, 0 HR, 8 RBI
8. 1B  Gabriel Arias   .204, 1 HR, 1 RBI
9. C  Cam Gallagher   .061, 0 HR, 2 RBI

Betting Insights:

Angels

  • The Los Angeles Angels are 3-2 (.600) on the road as an underdog in their last five games in 2023
  • The over hit in 3 of the Los Angeles Angels last 5 games on the road in 2023

Guardians

  • The over hit in 1 of the Cleveland Guardians last 5 games at home in 2023
  • The Cleveland Guardians are 3-2 (.600) at home as a favorite in their last five games in 2023

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