Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
Angels @ Guardians – First Pitch: 7:10 p.m.
We take a look at a matchup that might seem unattractive to many, the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim versus the Cleveland Guardians. The Angels, despite boasting the greatest player in baseball, Shohei Otani, and multiple-time American League MVP, Mike Trout, have a lineup filled with “just a bunch of guys".
The money line for this game is very narrow, with the Angels at +115 and the Guardians at -136. Essentially, this is a coin-flip game. The total for this game stands at 8.5, pointing towards a moderate-scoring game.
On the mound for the Angels is Tyler Anderson, who was signed away from the Dodgers last season, and for the Guardians, Logan Allen. The game features two lefties, which traditionally leans towards an over.
Looking at the model’s predictions for the Angels-Guardians game, it likes the over, aligning with the two-lefties theory. Furthermore, the model favors the Angels with a win probability of 55%. For a coin flip road game, this is a substantial edge and worth noting for bettors.
The matchup becomes more interesting when analyzing the teams’ performance against lefties. The Guardians have shown a clear struggle against left-handed pitching, with their team having difficulty hitting fastballs. On the contrary, the Angels, despite their inconsistent hitting, perform significantly better against left-handers and have shown strength against fastball and changeup pitches. This could prove beneficial for them as they face a left-handed pitcher who predominantly uses fastballs and changeups.
In conclusion, the Angels seem to be in a promising position to secure a win in this game.
Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angels | +1.5 | -197 | O 8.5 | -107 | +101 | Open |
| -183 | 8.5 | -117 | +115 | Current | ||
| Guardians | -1.5 | +163 | U 8.5 | -112 | -118 | Open |
| +154 | 8.5 | -103 | -136 | Current | ||
Projected Lineups:
Angels
Starting Pitcher: Tyler Anderson: 1-0, 5.40 ERA, 6.82 K/9
| 1. | LF | Taylor Ward | .234, 4 HR, 15 RBI |
| 2. | CF | Mike Trout | .288, 8 HR, 20 RBI |
| 3. | DH | Shohei Ohtani | .293, 8 HR, 24 RBI |
| 4. | 3B | Anthony Rendon | .292, 1 HR, 19 RBI |
| 5. | RF | Hunter Renfroe | .257, 10 HR, 26 RBI |
| 6. | 2B | Brandon Drury | .224, 7 HR, 20 RBI |
| 7. | 1B | Gio Urshela | .302, 1 HR, 12 RBI |
| 8. | C | Chris Okey | .000, 0 HR, 0 RBI |
| 9. | SS | Zach Neto | .235, 1 HR, 8 RBI |
Guardians
Starting Pitcher: Logan Allen: 1-1, 2.70 ERA, 10.26 K/9
| 1. | LF | Steven Kwan | .265, 1 HR, 12 RBI |
| 2. | SS | Amed Rosario | .234, 1 HR, 7 RBI |
| 3. | 3B | José Ramírez | .270, 4 HR, 20 RBI |
| 4. | DH | Josh Bell | .219, 3 HR, 16 RBI |
| 5. | 2B | Andrés Giménez | .214, 2 HR, 8 RBI |
| 6. | RF | Will Brennan | .208, 1 HR, 10 RBI |
| 7. | CF | Myles Straw | .229, 0 HR, 8 RBI |
| 8. | 1B | Gabriel Arias | .204, 1 HR, 1 RBI |
| 9. | C | Cam Gallagher | .061, 0 HR, 2 RBI |
Betting Insights:
Angels
- The Los Angeles Angels are 3-2 (.600) on the road as an underdog in their last five games in 2023
- The over hit in 3 of the Los Angeles Angels last 5 games on the road in 2023
Guardians
- The over hit in 1 of the Cleveland Guardians last 5 games at home in 2023
- The Cleveland Guardians are 3-2 (.600) at home as a favorite in their last five games in 2023
