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MLB · 2 weeks ago

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid-Staff

Dodgers @ Cardinals – First Pitch: 7:45 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Scattered Clouds, 73°
 

In an exciting MLB matchup, the Los Angeles Dodgers square off against the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. Despite being the away team, the Dodgers start as favorites (-153), with Adam Wainwright taking the mound for the Cardinals.

The game features an interesting pitching matchup. For the Dodgers, Julio Urias takes the mound, and his recent performance might raise some eyebrows. His xFIP over the past 30 days is slightly concerning at 4.66. As a left-handed pitcher, Urias has held his own against lefties, but he struggles when facing right-handed hitters. His right-side profile shows a .336 weighted on-base average and a troublesome .275 ISO power number. Today, he’s likely to face at least eight right-handed batters.

Turning our attention to the Cardinals’ starting pitcher, Wainwright has not been at his best either. Over the last month, encompassing his season, he holds an xFIP of 5.02. Left-handed batters have been particularly troubling for him, with a weighted on-base percentage of .438 and an ISO of .280. Against right-handed batters, his numbers are slightly above average, with a .339 weighted on-base percentage and an ISO power number of .222.

The forecast seems to favor a high-scoring game, with temperatures around 75 degrees and minimal wind interference. Plus, the Dodgers’ anticipated lineup looks strong against Wainwright. The ISO power numbers are also strong for the Cards, hinting at a potential run-fest in St. Louis tonight.

 

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

  Spread Total Moneyline  
 Dodgers -1.5  +111  O 8.5  -111  -145  Open
+107  -115  -153  Current
 Cardinals +1.5   -134  U 8.5  -109  +124  Open
 -128   -104  +131  Current

Projected Lineups:

Dodgers

Starting Pitcher: Julio Urías: 5-3, 3.61 ERA, 8.94 K/9

1. RF  Mookie Betts   .250, 9 HR, 25 RBI
2. 1B  Freddie Freeman   .310, 7 HR, 23 RBI
3. C  Will Smith   .330, 7 HR, 22 RBI
4. 3B  Max Muncy   .221, 14 HR, 32 RBI
5. DH  J.D. Martinez   .241, 5 HR, 19 RBI
6. CF  James Outman   .264, 9 HR, 27 RBI
7. 2B  Miguel Vargas   .227, 4 HR, 22 RBI
8. LF  David Peralta   .211, 2 HR, 16 RBI
9. SS  Chris Taylor   .186, 7 HR, 17 RBI

 

Cardinals

Starting Pitcher: Adam Wainwright: 0-0, 7.20 ERA, 6.30 K/9

1. 2B  Tommy Edman   .276, 6 HR, 17 RBI
2. 1B  Paul Goldschmidt   .306, 7 HR, 23 RBI
3. C  Willson Contreras   .252, 3 HR, 18 RBI
4. 3B  Nolan Arenado   .263, 8 HR, 32 RBI
5. LF  Alec Burleson   .225, 3 HR, 10 RBI
6. DH  Juan Yepez   .240, 1 HR, 1 RBI
7. SS  Paul DeJong   .288, 5 HR, 9 RBI
8. CF  Lars Nootbaar   .287, 3 HR, 13 RBI
9. RF  Brendan Donovan   .262, 3 HR, 11 RBI

Betting Insights:

Dodgers

  • The over hit in 13 of the Los Angeles Dodgers last 20 games on the road in 2023
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers are 3-2 (.600) on the road as a favorite in their last five games in 2023

Cardinals

  • The over hit in 3 of the St. Louis Cardinals last 5 games at home in 2023
  • The St. Louis Cardinals are 2-3 (.400) at home as an underdog in their last five games in 2023

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