New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
Mets @ Reds – First Pitch: 12:35 p.m.
Betting Preview: Mets Eyeing Return to .500 vs. Reds
The Mets are gearing up to take on the Cincinnati Reds, with the odds favoring them at -194 to level their record at .500. The game’s total is set at a lofty 10.5, suggesting a high-scoring affair.
Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -1.5 | -124 | O 10 | -111 | -188 | Open |
| -124 | 10.5 | -111 | -194 | Current | ||
| Reds | +1.5 | +103 | U 10 | -110 | +161 | Open |
| +103 | 10.5 | -108 | +164 | Current | ||
High Total: A Reflection of Expected Pitching Struggles
The high total of 10.5 is indicative of the anticipated pitching struggles, particularly from the Reds’ side. It suggests that bettors should expect a high-scoring game, with the Mets likely to carry the offensive weight.
Projected Lineups:
Mets
Starting Pitcher: Kodai Senga: 4-1, 3.38 ERA, 10.13 K/9
| 1. | CF | Brandon Nimmo | .311, 3 HR, 15 RBI |
| 2. | SS | Francisco Lindor | .223, 6 HR, 27 RBI |
| 3. | 2B | Jeff McNeil | .277, 2 HR, 12 RBI |
| 4. | 1B | Pete Alonso | .239, 13 HR, 31 RBI |
| 5. | 3B | Brett Baty | .258, 2 HR, 6 RBI |
| 6. | RF | Starling Marte | .216, 1 HR, 8 RBI |
| 7. | DH | Daniel Vogelbach | .270, 2 HR, 13 RBI |
| 8. | LF | Mark Canha | .216, 3 HR, 10 RBI |
| 9. | C | Francisco Alvarez | .228, 3 HR, 6 RBI |
Reds
Starting Pitcher: Derek Law: 2-4, 3.00 ERA, 9.00 K/9
| 1. | 2B | Jonathan India | .305, 3 HR, 17 RBI |
| 2. | CF | TJ Friedl | .314, 3 HR, 18 RBI |
| 3. | 1B | Spencer Steer | .244, 4 HR, 12 RBI |
| 4. | LF | Jake Fraley | .239, 2 HR, 19 RBI |
| 5. | DH | Tyler Stephenson | .252, 1 HR, 13 RBI |
| 6. | 3B | Nick Senzel | .259, 3 HR, 14 RBI |
| 7. | RF | Henry Ramos | .233, 0 HR, 3 RBI |
| 8. | SS | Kevin Newman | .229, 2 HR, 10 RBI |
| 9. | C | Curt Casali | .188, 0 HR, 0 RBI |
Mets’ Hitting Power: An Edge Over the Reds
The Mets’ offensive strength could be a key factor in this match. With Kodai Senga on the mound, recording a very average xFIP number of 4.63 this season, the Mets are likely to put up some significant offensive numbers. Although Senga has a solid strikeout percentage, he’s less effective against left-handed bats.
With TJ Friedl and two left-handed batters likely in the Reds’ starting lineup, this plays into the Mets’ advantage, making them a strong favorite for the match.
Betting Insights:
Mets
- The New York Mets are 1-4 (.200) on the road as a favorite in their last five games in 2023
- The over hit in 3 of the New York Mets last 5 games on the road in 2023
Reds
- The Cincinnati Reds are 4-1 (.800) at home as an underdog in their last five games in 2023
- The over hit in 3 of the Cincinnati Reds last 5 games at home in 2023
Betting Considerations
With a possible bullpen day for the Reds and the Mets’ offensive prowess, the betting landscape seems to lean heavily toward New York. However, it’s vital to monitor any last-minute changes in the pitching lineup as we approach the first pitch. The uncertainty surrounding the Reds’ starter could significantly influence the betting dynamics of this MLB showdown.
