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MLB · 3 weeks ago

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid-Staff

Mets @ Reds – First Pitch: 12:35 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Overcast Clouds, 80°
 

Betting Preview: Mets Eyeing Return to .500 vs. Reds

The Mets are gearing up to take on the Cincinnati Reds, with the odds favoring them at -194 to level their record at .500. The game’s total is set at a lofty 10.5, suggesting a high-scoring affair.

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

  Spread Total Moneyline  
 Mets -1.5  -124  O 10  -111  -188  Open
-124  10.5  -111  -194  Current
 Reds +1.5   +103  U 10  -110  +161  Open
 +103  10.5   -108  +164  Current

High Total: A Reflection of Expected Pitching Struggles

The high total of 10.5 is indicative of the anticipated pitching struggles, particularly from the Reds’ side. It suggests that bettors should expect a high-scoring game, with the Mets likely to carry the offensive weight.

Projected Lineups:

Mets

Starting Pitcher: Kodai Senga: 4-1, 3.38 ERA, 10.13 K/9

1. CF  Brandon Nimmo   .311, 3 HR, 15 RBI
2. SS  Francisco Lindor   .223, 6 HR, 27 RBI
3. 2B  Jeff McNeil   .277, 2 HR, 12 RBI
4. 1B  Pete Alonso   .239, 13 HR, 31 RBI
5. 3B  Brett Baty   .258, 2 HR, 6 RBI
6. RF  Starling Marte   .216, 1 HR, 8 RBI
7. DH  Daniel Vogelbach   .270, 2 HR, 13 RBI
8. LF  Mark Canha   .216, 3 HR, 10 RBI
9. C  Francisco Alvarez   .228, 3 HR, 6 RBI

 

Reds

Starting Pitcher: Derek Law: 2-4, 3.00 ERA, 9.00 K/9

1. 2B  Jonathan India   .305, 3 HR, 17 RBI
2. CF  TJ Friedl   .314, 3 HR, 18 RBI
3. 1B  Spencer Steer   .244, 4 HR, 12 RBI
4. LF  Jake Fraley   .239, 2 HR, 19 RBI
5. DH  Tyler Stephenson   .252, 1 HR, 13 RBI
6. 3B  Nick Senzel   .259, 3 HR, 14 RBI
7. RF  Henry Ramos   .233, 0 HR, 3 RBI
8. SS  Kevin Newman   .229, 2 HR, 10 RBI
9. C  Curt Casali   .188, 0 HR, 0 RBI

Mets’ Hitting Power: An Edge Over the Reds

The Mets’ offensive strength could be a key factor in this match. With Kodai Senga on the mound, recording a very average xFIP number of 4.63 this season, the Mets are likely to put up some significant offensive numbers. Although Senga has a solid strikeout percentage, he’s less effective against left-handed bats.

With TJ Friedl and two left-handed batters likely in the Reds’ starting lineup, this plays into the Mets’ advantage, making them a strong favorite for the match.

Betting Insights:

Mets

  • The New York Mets are 1-4 (.200) on the road as a favorite in their last five games in 2023
  • The over hit in 3 of the New York Mets last 5 games on the road in 2023

Reds

  • The Cincinnati Reds are 4-1 (.800) at home as an underdog in their last five games in 2023
  • The over hit in 3 of the Cincinnati Reds last 5 games at home in 2023

Betting Considerations

With a possible bullpen day for the Reds and the Mets’ offensive prowess, the betting landscape seems to lean heavily toward New York. However, it’s vital to monitor any last-minute changes in the pitching lineup as we approach the first pitch. The uncertainty surrounding the Reds’ starter could significantly influence the betting dynamics of this MLB showdown.

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