Sportsgrid-Staff

MLB 5/12 Preview: Mets Vs. Nationals

<div class="game_preview_section sport_mlb" data-sr_id="38064619" data-sd_id="68755">
<div>
<h2>Mets @ Nationals &#8211; First Pitch: 7:05 p.m.</h2>
</div>
<div>Expected Forecast: Overcast Clouds, 73°</div>
</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p>As we shift our gaze toward the upcoming face-off between the <strong>New York Mets</strong> and the <strong>Washington Nationals</strong>, we are faced with some compelling betting scenarios. The Mets, who are in dire need of a successful series, are road favorites at better than <strong>-138</strong> with a total at <strong>nine.</strong></p>
<p>The Mets are putting <strong>Tyler McGill</strong> on the mound, a decision that has historically led to less-than-ideal outcomes. Over the past month, McGill&#8217;s statistics have been troubling, with an <strong>xFIP</strong> close to <strong>seven</strong>, a <strong>strikeout rate</strong> (K-rate) of <strong>15%</strong>, and a <strong>walk rate</strong> over <strong>10%</strong>.</p>
<p>However, McGill has shown some success against left-handed batters with a <strong>weighted on-base percentage (wOBA) of .310</strong> and an isolated power (ISO) number of<strong> .078</strong>. Against right-handed batters, though, he struggles with a <strong>wOBA of .420</strong> and an <strong>ISO of .238</strong>.</p>
<p>Looking at the Nationals&#8217; lineup, we examine ISO power numbers to determine if they can deliver on doubles, triples, home runs, and drive in runs. Remarkably, all nine anticipated batters have <strong>poor ISO power numbers</strong> against <strong>right-handed pitching</strong> in 2023.</p>
<p>The Nationals are expected to put <strong>Mackenzie Gore</strong> on the mound. His stats are impressive with an <strong>xFIP of 2.93</strong> and a <strong>K-rate</strong> of <strong>32%</strong>. As a left-handed pitcher, Gore has been incredibly effective against right-handed batters, with a <strong>wOBA</strong> of <strong>.275</strong> and an ISO of <strong>.118</strong>.</p>
<p>However, Gore&#8217;s record against <strong>left-handed batters</strong> is less impressive. They have managed to secure a <strong>wOBA of .545</strong> against him, but the Mets&#8217; lineup for the night includes only two lefties, which might be an advantage for Gore.</p>
<p>Given the lackluster lineup for the Nationals and the struggles of the Mets&#8217; pitcher, one might be tempted to lean toward the <strong>over</strong>. However, the conditions seem unfavorable for hitters on both sides.</p>
<p>In conclusion, the total might be a touch too high considering the current circumstances. Both teams have their unique struggles, which makes this matchup particularly interesting from a betting perspective.</p>
</div>
<div class="game_preview_section sport_mlb" data-sr_id="38064619" data-sd_id="68755">
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div>
<h2>Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:</h2>
</div>
<div>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<th width="150px"> </th>
<th colspan="2" width="100px">Spread</th>
<th colspan="2" width="100px">Total</th>
<th width="100px">Moneyline</th>
<th width="100px"> </th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2"> Mets</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="right">-1.5 </td>
<td align="right">+118 </td>
<td align="right">O 9 </td>
<td align="right">-101 </td>
<td align="center">-138</td>
<td> Open</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right">+128 </td>
<td align="right">9 </td>
<td align="right">-104 </td>
<td align="center">-126</td>
<td> Current</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2"> Nationals</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="right">+1.5 </td>
<td align="right"> -140 </td>
<td align="right">U 9 </td>
<td align="right">-119 </td>
<td align="center">+117</td>
<td> Open</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right"> -150 </td>
<td align="right">9 </td>
<td align="right"> -116 </td>
<td align="center">+106</td>
<td> Current</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<div>
<h2>Projected Lineups:</h2>
<h3>Mets</h3>
<p><b>Starting Pitcher:</b> Tylor Megill: 3-2, 4.33 ERA, 6.88 K/9</p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">1.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">CF</td>
<td width="200px"> Brandon Nimmo</td>
<td width="180px">  .312, 3 HR, 15 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">2.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">RF</td>
<td width="200px"> Starling Marte</td>
<td width="180px">  .217, 1 HR, 8 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">3.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">SS</td>
<td width="200px"> Francisco Lindor</td>
<td width="180px">  .224, 6 HR, 27 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">4.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">1B</td>
<td width="200px"> Pete Alonso</td>
<td width="180px">  .234, 13 HR, 31 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">5.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">LF</td>
<td width="200px"> Tommy Pham</td>
<td width="180px">  .220, 3 HR, 8 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">6.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">2B</td>
<td width="200px"> Jeff McNeil</td>
<td width="180px">  .269, 2 HR, 12 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">7.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">DH</td>
<td width="200px"> Mark Canha</td>
<td width="180px">  .217, 3 HR, 10 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">8.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">3B</td>
<td width="200px"> Eduardo Escobar</td>
<td width="180px">  .159, 3 HR, 9 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">9.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">C</td>
<td width="200px"> Francisco Alvarez</td>
<td width="180px">  .246, 3 HR, 6 RBI</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3>Nationals</h3>
<p><b>Starting Pitcher:</b> MacKenzie Gore: 3-2, 3.65 ERA, 11.68 K/9</p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">1.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">CF</td>
<td width="200px"> Alex Call</td>
<td width="180px">  .230, 3 HR, 16 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">2.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">2B</td>
<td width="200px"> Luis García</td>
<td width="180px">  .264, 3 HR, 16 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">3.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">C</td>
<td width="200px"> Keibert Ruiz</td>
<td width="180px">  .246, 3 HR, 12 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">4.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">DH</td>
<td width="200px"> Joey Meneses</td>
<td width="180px">  .288, 2 HR, 16 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">5.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">3B</td>
<td width="200px"> Jeimer Candelario</td>
<td width="180px">  .216, 4 HR, 14 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">6.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">1B</td>
<td width="200px"> Dominic Smith</td>
<td width="180px">  .270, 1 HR, 8 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">7.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">RF</td>
<td width="200px"> Lane Thomas</td>
<td width="180px">  .281, 4 HR, 18 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">8.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">LF</td>
<td width="200px"> Stone Garrett</td>
<td width="180px">  .288, 1 HR, 7 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">9.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">SS</td>
<td width="200px"> CJ Abrams</td>
<td width="180px">  .241, 2 HR, 17 RBI</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<div>
<h2>Betting Insights:</h2>
</div>
<h3>Mets</h3>
<ul>
<li>The New York Mets are 1-4 (.200) on the road as a favorite in their last five games in 2023</li>
<li>The over hit in 2 of the New York Mets last 5 games on the road in 2023</li>
</ul>
<h3>Nationals</h3>
<ul>
<li>The Washington Nationals are 4-1 (.800) at home as an underdog in their last five games in 2023</li>
<li>The over hit in 1 of the Washington Nationals last 5 games at home in 2023</li>
</ul>
</div>


New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers are once again trailing early in Game 2 of their playoff series vs. the Vegas Golden Knights, but now is the time to bet them at +175.

The Edmonton Oilers Game Betting Tips: Conquer the Odds!

Despite early setbacks and penalties, the Edmonton Oilers have rallied, scoring 5 straight wins to overcome initial struggles in the 2025 NHL playoffs.

Edmonton Oilers' Winning Streak Despite Early Setbacks

The Vegas Golden Knights must capitalize on back-to-back power plays to maintain momentum against the Edmonton Oilers, who you know are going to score.

Vegas Golden Knights: Key Power Play Opportunities

LATEST VIDEOS

New York Mets,Flushing  Queens  NY,National  League,National  League East,Washington Nationals,Washington  DC

keywords

twitter:card

twitter:title

https://sg-images-bucket.nyc3.cdn.digitaloceanspaces.com/thumnbail-webp/article/1769922-1920x1080.webp?v=1746783175

twitter:image

thumbnail

google

Our comprehensive betting guide for Mets-Nationals offers a deep dive into odds, team statistics, and individual performances to help you make the best betting decisions.

description

expires

robots

og:locale

og:site_name

og:type

og:title

og:description

og:image

og:image:type

og:image:width

og:image:height

og:image:secure_url

article:published_time

article:modified_time

MLB Best Bets Today (May 8): Top Home Run Props

2025 MLB Prospect Watch: Top 7 Hitters Whose Stock is Rising

11 MLB Players Making the Case to be 1st-Time NL All-Stars in 2025

MLB's Top 7 Workhorse Starting Pitchers Ranked by Innings Pitched

Dodgers vs. Marlins MLB Picks & Player Props | Tuesday MLB Best Bets, May 6

MLB Best Bets Today (May 6): Top Home Run Props

Miami Marlins Betting: Can the Fish Deliver Value Despite the Rebuild?

Tyler Glasnow Injury: What It Means for Dodgers' Betting Outlook

Aaron Judge's MVP Campaign: Yankees Slugger on Historic Tear

Rockies vs. Giants Prediction, Odds & Best Bets | Sunday, May 5

Comment

Home

Articles

SportsGrid is your source for the best sports bets today. Watch SportsGrid for live sports news coverage, scores, odds, moneylines, sports betting tips & more.

sportsgrid.com

Ferrall Coast To Coast

College Football Today

NFL Pro Football Today

Bare Knuckle Fighting Main Event

The Early Line Live

SportsRage Tonight Live

NewsWire Live

The Bostonian Vs. The Book

Bare Knuckle Fighting Knuckle Up

MODUS Super Series Darts

Gametime Decisions Live

Fantasy Sports Today

The Smylie Kaufman Show

NHL Today

Ferrall Coast To Coast From Super Bowl Week

Ferrall Coast To Coast Live From Super Bowl Week

NFL Super Bowl Pro Football Today

2025 NFL Draft Special

OUR SHOWS

Exploring the MLB West: Mariners, A's, Astros, Rangers—analyzing run differentials and core team strengths. Matt Lutovsky joins to break down the division.

Exploring the AL West's Four-Team Race After the Opening Month

AL East twist: Yankees dominate subtly, Red Sox and Rays challenge. Orioles falter. Long season ahead for all. Matt Lutovsky joins to break down the race.

AL East Division Race: Yankees and Red Sox Sit Atop

Aaron Judge tops AL MVP odds, leading Alex Bregman and Cal Raleigh after their standout seasons. Matt Lutovsky joins to break down why the race might be over.

Exploring Current AL MVP Odds: Is Aaron Judge the Clear Winner?

2025's top AL pitchers: Max Fried shines with Yankees; Tyler Mahle impresses with standout skills. Matt Lutovsky joins to break down who is worth a wager.

AL Cy Young Race Heats Up Between 4 Elite Starters

LATEST SPORTSGRID VIDEOS

Wherever you are, SportsGrid can be there too. Here are all of the platforms and subscription services you can find us on and how to watch SportsGrid today.

Where to Watch SportsGrid | How to Watch SportsGrid | SportsGrid

Samsung TV Plus

Roku TV

FireTV

LG Channels

Vizio

Xiaomi

VIDAA

SportsGrid is free to watch on any of the following Connected TV’s

FREE ON MY TV

Amazon Prime Video

YouTube TV

FuboTV

Plex

Sling Tv

FreeCast

Local Now

Stremium

Rad TV

Free Live Sports

SportsGrid is free to watch on any of the following Streaming services

LIVE STREAMING SERVICES

Sirius XM

Sports.Tv

YouTube

Download the new SportsGrid app, watch on SportsGrid.com or our YouTube Channel

WEB/MOBILE

SportsGrid is free to watch on any of the following platforms

ALL PARTNERS

Wherever you are, SportsGrid can be there too. Here are all of the platforms and subscription services you can find us on:

WHERE TO WATCH SPORTSGRID

Sports Betting

Sportsbook Promos

Social Casinos