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MLB · 4 weeks ago

Oakland Athletics vs. New York Yankees Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid-Staff

Athletics @ Yankees – First Pitch: 7:05 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Broken Clouds, 68°
 

Matchup Overview: Athletics vs. Yankees

While the New York Yankees may not justify their -193 odds against anyone right now, their matchup with the struggling Oakland A’s presents some interesting betting opportunities. With Nester Cortes coming off a poor start against Texas and the Yankees’ lineup looking to make a statement, the focus should be on the game’s total runs.

 

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

  Spread Total Moneyline  
 Athletics +1.5  -125  O 8.5  -104  +180  Open
-129  8.5  -106  +164  Current
 Yankees -1.5   +104  U 8.5  -116  -216  Open
 +108  8.5   -114  -193  Current

Projected Lineups:

Athletics

Starting Pitcher: JP Sears: 0-2, 5.06 ERA, 9.56 K/9

1. CF  Esteury Ruiz   .273, 0 HR, 16 RBI
2. DH  Carlos Pérez   .333, 1 HR, 5 RBI
3. LF  Brent Rooker   .319, 10 HR, 26 RBI
4. 1B  Jesús Aguilar   .256, 5 HR, 9 RBI
5. RF  Ramón Laureano   .225, 3 HR, 6 RBI
6. 2B  Jordan Diaz   .222, 1 HR, 4 RBI
7. C  Shea Langeliers   .216, 6 HR, 17 RBI
8. 3B  Kevin Smith   .188, 2 HR, 6 RBI
9. SS  Nick Allen   .097, 0 HR, 1 RBI

 

Yankees

Starting Pitcher: Nestor Cortes: 3-2, 4.91 ERA, 9.55 K/9

1. SS  Anthony Volpe   .212, 3 HR, 9 RBI
2. 2B  Gleyber Torres   .242, 4 HR, 12 RBI
3. 1B  Anthony Rizzo   .283, 6 HR, 15 RBI
4. DH  DJ LeMahieu   .279, 3 HR, 14 RBI
5. CF  Harrison Bader   .389, 2 HR, 7 RBI
6. 3B  Isiah Kiner-Falefa   .203, 0 HR, 2 RBI
7. RF  Oswaldo Cabrera   .202, 1 HR, 8 RBI
8. C  Jose Trevino   .222, 3 HR, 11 RBI
9. LF  Aaron Hicks   .143, 0 HR, 2 RBI

Pitching Matchup: Nester Cortes vs. Sears

  • Nester Cortes (Yankees): 5.80 xFIP, 28% K rate, struggles against right-handed batters
  • Sears (A’s): 5.12 xFIP, decent K rate, dominates against lefties, struggles against right-handed batters

Cortes has a respectable K rate and performs well against left-handed batters. However, he struggles against right-handed hitters, and the A’s are expected to field nine right-handed batters in their lineup. This could spell trouble for Cortes, who has a .342 weighted on-base percentage and a .256 ISO power number against righties.

Sears, on the other hand, has a decent K rate and excels against lefties. However, he too, has difficulties against right-handed batters, and the Yankees’ lineup is stacked with them.

Betting Angle: Focusing on Total Runs

Instead of betting on the Yankees’ money line or run line, bettors should focus on the game’s total runs, which is currently set at 8 to 8.5. Both teams’ lineups should be able to hit against the opposing pitchers, leading to a higher-scoring game. The Yankees have played more home games with an under this season (15-4), but this trend may be bucked in this matchup.

Betting Insights:

Athletics

  • The over hit in 12 of the Oakland Athletics last 17 games on the road in 2023
  • The Oakland Athletics are 5-11 (.313) on the road as an underdog in 2023

Yankees

  • The over hit in 0 of the New York Yankees last 5 games at home in 2023
  • The New York Yankees are 3-2 (.600) at home as a favorite in their last five games in 2023

Conclusion

The Oakland A’s vs. New York Yankees game offers intriguing betting opportunities for those focusing on the game’s total runs. With both pitchers struggling against right-handed batters and both lineups looking to capitalize, bettors should expect a higher-scoring affair. Keep an eye on these factors when placing your bets on this exciting MLB showdown.

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