We have the Seattle Mariners taking on the Oakland Athletics, and there’s plenty to dissect in this matchup.

The Athletics, sadly, have not been performing up to par, often finding themselves as a +250 underdog. With today’s lower price of +208, this game featuring Logan Gilbert at home for the Mariners might look like a slight reprieve, but don’t let the number fool you.

The Mariners recently faced the Athletics with Marco Gonzales on the mound, who has been struggling to keep batters at bay, and still managed a 3-2 victory. They followed up with an effortless win yesterday, indicating a possible trend in their favor.

Gilbert, on the other hand, has been impressive. In the past 30 days, he holds a 2.99 xFIP and a 30% strikeout rate. Analyzing his splits gives us an even clearer picture of his dominance. Gilbert’s ISO against lefties is .080, and against righties stands at a mere .103 over the past month. The Athletics are going to have their work cut out for them.

With an ERA of 4.99, Oakland’s starting pitcher, JP Sears, does not seem to bring much resistance to the Mariners’ line-up. Considering these factors, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Seattle rack up 5+ runs, likely sufficient to secure another win over the A’s.

Remarkably, Oakland’s recent performance has been consistently subpar to the point where it becomes a betting strategy. As a bettor, the first game to consider would be “Who are the Oakland Athletics playing today?”