Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

We have a match-up between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Miami Marlins, a game that might not be the first you think of when considering “big-time baseball," but certainly one with intrigue. The game’s total is set at 7.5, reflecting the generally low-scoring nature of these two teams.

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Despite a good first few months of the season in the NL Central, the Pirates have slipped to five games below .500, leading some to perceive them as undervalued. On Pittsburgh, the focus will be on the performance of Mitch Keller.

Looking at the stats, Keller has displayed solid splits throughout the season, with an ISO power number of .135 and a weighted on-base percentage (wOBA) of .291 through 382 batters. However, over the last 30 days, Keller’s performance against left-handed batters appears slightly shaky, facing 72 with a .292 ISO power number and a .421 wOBA.

This brings us to Luis Arraez, a left-handed batter from the Marlins who could capitalize on Keller’s recent struggles against lefties. Arraez boasts a .424 wOBA, and although not particularly powerful, he rarely strikes out, making consistent contact with the ball.

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The challenge is considering Arraez’s likely betting odds. An outright to get one base hit might be priced too high, so a bet on him securing two base hits could be an interesting option. It’s important to note that Arraez has a 6% strikeout rate and a remarkably low 2% walk rate through 79 at-bats against right-handed pitching, showing he’s more likely to hit the ball than to walk.

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Finally, let’s not overlook Arraez’s recent performance. He went 2-5 in yesterday’s game, and despite the solid performance, his batting average dropped to .398 – an interesting statistic emphasizing his consistent batting skill.

So, while the Pirates vs. Marlins game may not be the blockbuster of the day, it offers intriguing betting possibilities and a chance to observe some unique player performances.