Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
MLB – Pirates @ Marlins – First Pitch: 6:40 p.m.
Tonight’s MLB faceoff features the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Miami Marlins at the Marlins’ home ground. Jesus Luzardo, Miami’s starting pitcher, emerges as the firm favorite with a moneyline price of -190. The game carries a low total of 7.5.
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The game could be a tight, low-scoring one playing at Miami’s stadium, notorious for its difficult hitting conditions. However, a closer look at the pitchers suggests an opportunity for left-handed batters.
Luis L. Ortiz, Pittsburgh’s right-handed pitcher, boasts impressive stats against right-handed batters, with a .176 ISO power number and a .292 weighted on-base percentage (wOBA). The trouble begins when Ortiz faces left-handed bats—his ISO power spikes to a problematic .361, coupled with an alarming wOBA of .549. For comparison, an ISO power number below .175 and a wOBA of .325 or lower signifies quality pitching. Ortiz’s figures are significantly higher, indicating potential vulnerabilities against lefties.
Miami’s lineup has a few left-handed bats ready to exploit this weakness. Luis Arraez is one such player with his impressive .425 wOBA against right-handed pitching. Although not known for his power, he can rack up multiple base hits in this game.
Despite being a right-handed hitter, Jorge Soler has been in excellent form recently, with a .367 ISO power number and a .459 wOBA against right-handed pitching.
Watch for the young right fielder, Jesus Sanchez, a left-handed batter with a solid .350 wOBA. His RBI prop is potentially a good bet.
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Now, let’s focus on Arraez. He’s having an exceptional run with a batting average flirting with .400 this season. However, with just two home runs this season, he might not meet the qualifications for an RBI. His performance yesterday featured a hit and a walk, the latter a rarity considering his walk percentage against righties is a mere 2.4%. Yet his average and low strikeout rate means he can consistently potentially deliver.
Check out Arraez’s .400 Tracker and Daily Props
While not a sure-fire bet, Arraez can be a valuable addition to any hitting parlay, potentially an “anchor leg" of the bet. The odds for him to get multiple hits are +125, considering he’s batting an impressive .436 in June. This left-handed batter is truly a unique talent to watch out for in tonight’s game.
Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | +1.5 | -150 | O 8 | -104 | +143 | Open |
| -132 | 7.5 | -112 | +160 | Current | ||
| Marlins | -1.5 | +127 | U 8 | -115 | -169 | Open |
| +110 | 7.5 | -108 | -190 | Current | ||
Projected Lineups:
Pirates
Starting Pitcher: Luis L. Ortiz: 1-3, 4.30 ERA, 6.21 K/9
| 1. | 3B | Ke’Bryan Hayes | .259, 5 HR, 31 RBI |
| 2. | DH | Andrew McCutchen | .260, 9 HR, 24 RBI |
| 3. | LF | Connor Joe | .248, 6 HR, 21 RBI |
| 4. | 1B | Carlos Santana | .227, 6 HR, 35 RBI |
| 5. | SS | Rodolfo Castro | .247, 6 HR, 21 RBI |
| 6. | CF | Jack Suwinski | .221, 15 HR, 35 RBI |
| 7. | RF | Henry Davis | .167, 1 HR, 1 RBI |
| 8. | 2B | Ji Hwan Bae | .250, 2 HR, 18 RBI |
| 9. | C | Austin Hedges | .165, 1 HR, 12 RBI |
Marlins
Starting Pitcher: Jesús Luzardo: 6-5, 4.09 ERA, 10.11 K/9
| 1. | 2B | Luis Arraez | .397, 2 HR, 35 RBI |
| 2. | DH | Jorge Soler | .252, 21 HR, 45 RBI |
| 3. | LF | Bryan De La Cruz | .274, 8 HR, 41 RBI |
| 4. | RF | Jesús Sánchez | .265, 6 HR, 21 RBI |
| 5. | 1B | Garrett Cooper | .238, 9 HR, 33 RBI |
| 6. | SS | Joey Wendle | .255, 1 HR, 8 RBI |
| 7. | 3B | Jon Berti | .278, 2 HR, 13 RBI |
| 8. | C | Jacob Stallings | .165, 0 HR, 8 RBI |
| 9. | CF | Jonathan Davis | .278, 1 HR, 8 RBI |














