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MLB · 2 years ago

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

MLB – Pirates @ Marlins – First Pitch: 6:40 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Light Rain, 85°
 

Tonight’s MLB faceoff features the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Miami Marlins at the Marlins’ home ground. Jesus Luzardo, Miami’s starting pitcher, emerges as the firm favorite with a moneyline price of -190. The game carries a low total of 7.5.

Stay ahead of the game and elevate your sports betting experience with SportsGrid and our daily MLB game picks.

The game could be a tight, low-scoring one playing at Miami’s stadium, notorious for its difficult hitting conditions. However, a closer look at the pitchers suggests an opportunity for left-handed batters.

Luis L. Ortiz, Pittsburgh’s right-handed pitcher, boasts impressive stats against right-handed batters, with a .176 ISO power number and a .292 weighted on-base percentage (wOBA). The trouble begins when Ortiz faces left-handed bats—his ISO power spikes to a problematic .361, coupled with an alarming wOBA of .549. For comparison, an ISO power number below .175 and a wOBA of .325 or lower signifies quality pitching. Ortiz’s figures are significantly higher, indicating potential vulnerabilities against lefties.

Miami’s lineup has a few left-handed bats ready to exploit this weakness. Luis Arraez is one such player with his impressive .425 wOBA against right-handed pitching. Although not known for his power, he can rack up multiple base hits in this game.

Despite being a right-handed hitter, Jorge Soler has been in excellent form recently, with a .367 ISO power number and a .459 wOBA against right-handed pitching.

Watch for the young right fielder, Jesus Sanchez, a left-handed batter with a solid .350 wOBA. His RBI prop is potentially a good bet.

SportsGrid’s Best Daily MLB Prop Picks

Now, let’s focus on Arraez. He’s having an exceptional run with a batting average flirting with .400 this season. However, with just two home runs this season, he might not meet the qualifications for an RBI. His performance yesterday featured a hit and a walk, the latter a rarity considering his walk percentage against righties is a mere 2.4%. Yet his average and low strikeout rate means he can consistently potentially deliver.

Check out Arraez’s .400 Tracker and Daily Props

While not a sure-fire bet, Arraez can be a valuable addition to any hitting parlay, potentially an “anchor leg" of the bet. The odds for him to get multiple hits are +125, considering he’s batting an impressive .436 in June. This left-handed batter is truly a unique talent to watch out for in tonight’s game.

 

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

  Spread Total Moneyline  
 Pirates +1.5  -150  O 8  -104  +143  Open
-132  7.5  -112  +160  Current
 Marlins -1.5   +127  U 8  -115  -169  Open
 +110  7.5   -108  -190  Current

 

Projected Lineups:

Pirates

Starting Pitcher: Luis L. Ortiz: 1-3, 4.30 ERA, 6.21 K/9

1. 3B  Ke’Bryan Hayes   .259, 5 HR, 31 RBI
2. DH  Andrew McCutchen   .260, 9 HR, 24 RBI
3. LF  Connor Joe   .248, 6 HR, 21 RBI
4. 1B  Carlos Santana   .227, 6 HR, 35 RBI
5. SS  Rodolfo Castro   .247, 6 HR, 21 RBI
6. CF  Jack Suwinski   .221, 15 HR, 35 RBI
7. RF  Henry Davis   .167, 1 HR, 1 RBI
8. 2B  Ji Hwan Bae   .250, 2 HR, 18 RBI
9. C  Austin Hedges   .165, 1 HR, 12 RBI

Marlins

Starting Pitcher: Jesús Luzardo: 6-5, 4.09 ERA, 10.11 K/9

1. 2B  Luis Arraez   .397, 2 HR, 35 RBI
2. DH  Jorge Soler   .252, 21 HR, 45 RBI
3. LF  Bryan De La Cruz   .274, 8 HR, 41 RBI
4. RF  Jesús Sánchez   .265, 6 HR, 21 RBI
5. 1B  Garrett Cooper   .238, 9 HR, 33 RBI
6. SS  Joey Wendle   .255, 1 HR, 8 RBI
7. 3B  Jon Berti   .278, 2 HR, 13 RBI
8. C  Jacob Stallings   .165, 0 HR, 8 RBI
9. CF  Jonathan Davis   .278, 1 HR, 8 RBI