Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Seattle Mariners Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
Pirates @ Mariners – First Pitch: 10:10 p.m.
Our spotlight for today shines on the upcoming face-off between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Seattle Mariners. This is one duel you wouldn’t want to miss, as we’ve got George Kirby and Mitch Keller battling it out on the mound. The game’s total is at seven, and we’re all set for some classic Mariner baseball. Let’s break this showdown down, shall we?
We’ve all seen the Pirates’ recent fade, but what’s causing it? Is it their pitching? Their hitting? Well, let’s play a little game called ‘Iso Power Number’ for the past 30 days against right-handed pitching. It’s rare to see a team struggle so much against righties, but here we are. Of their nine batters, guess how many have an ISO Power number of .161 or higher? None. Yes, you read that right, zero. So, we’ve got a team that’s sending nine players to the plate with zero power against right-handed pitching. That’s some grim news for Pirates fans.
But wait, it gets better (or worse if you’re rooting for the Pirates). They’re up against Kirby, who’s been in fantastic form. Over the past 30 days, he has an impressive xFIP of 3.69, a K rate over 20%, and very few walks. His splits are worth noting: an ISO Power number of .104 against lefties and .075 against righties. Considering the Pirates’ miserable ISO stats, Kirby seems well-poised to shut them down tonight, so look to the under on Pittsburgh’s team total.
But let’s flip the script and take a look at the man on the mound for the Pirates, Mitch Keller. He’s been quite the surprise with an xFIP of 2.16 over the past 30 days and a K rate close to 37%. His splits? Try an ISO of .082 against lefties and zero against righties. That’s right, zero. If those numbers hold, we’re in for a low-scoring game, so take the under
Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | +1.5 | -162 | O 7 | -111 | +134 | Open |
| -164 | 7 | -112 | +131 | Current | ||
| Mariners | -1.5 | +137 | U 7 | -108 | -155 | Open |
| +139 | 7 | -108 | -153 | Current | ||
Projected Lineups:
Pirates
Starting Pitcher: Mitch Keller: 5-1, 2.44 ERA, 11.06 K/9
| 1. | DH | Andrew McCutchen | .265, 7 HR, 19 RBI |
| 2. | LF | Bryan Reynolds | .282, 6 HR, 28 RBI |
| 3. | CF | Jack Suwinski | .219, 7 HR, 23 RBI |
| 4. | 1B | Carlos Santana | .235, 2 HR, 23 RBI |
| 5. | 3B | Ke’Bryan Hayes | .232, 1 HR, 16 RBI |
| 6. | SS | Tucupita Marcano | .257, 2 HR, 9 RBI |
| 7. | 2B | Ji Hwan Bae | .264, 2 HR, 12 RBI |
| 8. | RF | Josh Palacios | .278, 0 HR, 3 RBI |
| 9. | C | Austin Hedges | .154, 0 HR, 7 RBI |
Mariners
Starting Pitcher: George Kirby: 5-3, 2.62 ERA, 7.25 K/9
| 1. | SS | J.P. Crawford | .244, 2 HR, 20 RBI |
| 2. | 1B | Ty France | .266, 5 HR, 23 RBI |
| 3. | CF | Julio Rodríguez | .227, 7 HR, 23 RBI |
| 4. | LF | Jarred Kelenic | .284, 10 HR, 25 RBI |
| 5. | 3B | Eugenio Suárez | .222, 5 HR, 29 RBI |
| 6. | C | Cal Raleigh | .228, 7 HR, 24 RBI |
| 7. | RF | Teoscar Hernández | .237, 9 HR, 25 RBI |
| 8. | DH | Taylor Trammell | .143, 3 HR, 10 RBI |
| 9. | 2B | Kolten Wong | .170, 0 HR, 8 RBI |
Betting Insights:
Pirates
- The over hit in 2 of the Pittsburgh Pirates last 5 games on the road in 2023
Mariners
- The over hit in 1 of the Seattle Mariners last 5 games at home in 2023
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