Sportsgrid-Staff

Back The Cardinals (+210) To Win The NL Central

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<h2>Cardinals @ Reds &#8211; First Pitch: 6:40 p.m.</h2>
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<div>Expected Forecast: Light Rain, 69°</div>
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<p>The <strong>St. Louis Cardinals</strong> are set to meet the <strong>Cincinnati Reds</strong> in the third go-around of a four-game set. Left-hander <strong>Steven</strong> <strong>Matz</strong> takes the mound for the Cardinals, while right-hander <strong>Ben</strong> <strong>Lively</strong> counters for the Reds. The odds favor the Cardinals as a <strong>-157</strong> favorite. The surprise of the day is the run total, set at a staggering <strong>10.5</strong>, comparable to a typical Coors Field line.</p>
<p>Matz, while possessing considerable talent, has experienced rough outings in recent times, amplifying the uncertainties for St. Louis. The Reds, who had a decent offensive outing in the previous game scoring five runs, are primed to take advantage of Matz&#8217;s struggles. While avoiding the potentially volatile total, betting enthusiasts might consider the <strong>Reds</strong> on the <strong>moneyline</strong> or<strong> run line</strong> to capitalize early, particularly in a <strong>first five-inning</strong> situation.</p>
<p>The Cards&#8217; batting lineup never really poses a question. The focus, however, is on their pitching. Lively, on the other hand, boasts commendable numbers over the past <strong>30 days</strong>. A splendid <strong>3.46 xFIP</strong>, a strikeout rate of <strong>25%</strong>, and excellent control that restricts walks. His splits present an even more interesting perspective. Against <strong>left-handers</strong>, he&#8217;s been almost invincible with a <strong>.130 wOBA</strong> and an <strong>ISO</strong> of <strong>zero</strong>. Right-handers haven&#8217;t fared much better, with a <strong>.249 wOBA</strong> and a <strong>.150 ISO</strong>.</p>
<p>As for Matz, he&#8217;s had a tough time, especially against <strong>right-handed batters</strong>, who have a <strong>.362 wOBA</strong> against him. Given that the Reds&#8217; estimated lineup for today features all right-handed batters, we could be in for an offensive showing. But with the total set at 11, it&#8217;ll take a scoring fest to hit the over.</p>
<p>Adding to the Cardinals&#8217; woes is the absence of <strong>Ryan</strong> <strong>Helsley</strong> and <a class="Ui2TZ WCMfob oRJe3d" tabindex="0" role="link" data-ti="overview" data-ved="2ahUKEwju6PPju47_AhUYpokEHYooBkMQnZMFegQIXRAC" target='_blank' rel="noopener"><span class="yKMVIe" role="heading" aria-level="1"><strong>Giovanny</strong> </span></a><strong>Gallegos</strong>, two key bullpen arms who&#8217;ve pitched in the last two games. This leaves the Cardinals&#8217; bullpen thinner than they&#8217;d prefer.</p>
<p>While we expect runs to be scored, hitting the over might be a tall order. This game will likely hinge on how well Matz can combat the right-heavy Reds lineup and whether the Cardinals&#8217; batting order can continue their impressive form.</p>
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<h2>Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:</h2>
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<div>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<th width="150px"> </th>
<th colspan="2" width="100px">Spread</th>
<th colspan="2" width="100px">Total</th>
<th width="100px">Moneyline</th>
<th width="100px"> </th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2"> Cardinals</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="right">-1.5 </td>
<td align="right">-109 </td>
<td align="right">O 10 </td>
<td align="right">-111 </td>
<td align="center">-160</td>
<td> Open</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right">-103 </td>
<td align="right">10.5 </td>
<td align="right">-116 </td>
<td align="center">-157</td>
<td> Current</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2"> Reds</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="right">+1.5 </td>
<td align="right"> -111 </td>
<td align="right">U 10 </td>
<td align="right">-109 </td>
<td align="center">+138</td>
<td> Open</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right"> -117 </td>
<td align="right">10.5 </td>
<td align="right"> -103 </td>
<td align="center">+135</td>
<td> Current</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<div>
<h2>Projected Lineups:</h2>
<h3>Cardinals</h3>
<p><b>Starting Pitcher:</b> Steven Matz: 0-5, 5.05 ERA, 8.35 K/9 </p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">1.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">CF</td>
<td width="200px"> Lars Nootbaar</td>
<td width="180px">  .267, 3 HR, 18 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">2.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">1B</td>
<td width="200px"> Paul Goldschmidt</td>
<td width="180px">  .293, 9 HR, 25 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">3.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">DH</td>
<td width="200px"> Nolan Gorman</td>
<td width="180px">  .297, 13 HR, 39 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">4.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">3B</td>
<td width="200px"> Nolan Arenado</td>
<td width="180px">  .268, 9 HR, 34 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">5.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">C</td>
<td width="200px"> Willson Contreras</td>
<td width="180px">  .232, 5 HR, 25 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">6.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">RF</td>
<td width="200px"> Brendan Donovan</td>
<td width="180px">  .250, 3 HR, 11 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">7.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">SS</td>
<td width="200px"> Paul DeJong</td>
<td width="180px">  .291, 8 HR, 18 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">8.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">LF</td>
<td width="200px"> Alec Burleson</td>
<td width="180px">  .227, 3 HR, 12 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">9.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">2B</td>
<td width="200px"> Tommy Edman</td>
<td width="180px">  .285, 6 HR, 21 RBI</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p></p>
<h3>Reds</h3>
<p><b>Starting Pitcher:</b> Ben Lively: 1-2, 2.46 ERA, 8.18 K/9 </p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">1.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">2B</td>
<td width="200px"> Jonathan India</td>
<td width="180px">  .285, 3 HR, 18 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">2.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">LF</td>
<td width="200px"> TJ Friedl</td>
<td width="180px">  .312, 3 HR, 18 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">3.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">3B</td>
<td width="200px"> Nick Senzel</td>
<td width="180px">  .254, 4 HR, 20 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">4.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">1B</td>
<td width="200px"> Spencer Steer</td>
<td width="180px">  .257, 6 HR, 20 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">5.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">DH</td>
<td width="200px"> Tyler Stephenson</td>
<td width="180px">  .242, 2 HR, 17 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">6.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">CF</td>
<td width="200px"> Stuart Fairchild</td>
<td width="180px">  .211, 1 HR, 12 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">7.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">RF</td>
<td width="200px"> Wil Myers</td>
<td width="180px">  .189, 3 HR, 12 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">8.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">SS</td>
<td width="200px"> Jose Barrero</td>
<td width="180px">  .231, 1 HR, 12 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">9.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">C</td>
<td width="200px"> Luke Maile</td>
<td width="180px">  .286, 3 HR, 5 RBI</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<div>
<h2>Betting Insights:</h2>
</div>
<h3>Cardinals</h3>
<ul>
<li>The over hit in 3 of the St. Louis Cardinals last 5 games on the road in 2023</li>
</ul>
<h3>Reds</h3>
<ul>
<li>The over hit in 3 of the Cincinnati Reds last 5 games at home in 2023</li>
</ul>
</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

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