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MLB · 3 weeks ago

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid-Staff

Rays @ Orioles – First Pitch: 6:35 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Overcast Clouds, 66°
 

Matchup Overview: Rays vs. Orioles

The Tampa Bay Rays are recognized as a consistently great team, and their matchups provide an excellent test for their opponents. After their series against the Yankees, the Rays now face the Baltimore Orioles, who are fresh off a series against Atlanta. This AL East showdown will put both teams to the test, with the Rays coming in as road favorites with Shane McClanahan on the mound.

 

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

  Spread Total Moneyline  
 Rays -1.5  +105  O 8  -110  -165  Open
-113  8.5  -114  -182  Current
 Orioles +1.5   -125  U 8  -111  +142  Open
 -108  8.5   -107  +156  Current

Projected Lineups:

Rays

Starting Pitcher: Shane McClanahan: 6-0, 2.03 ERA, 11.48 K/9

1. DH  Yandy Díaz   .325, 9 HR, 19 RBI
2. SS  Wander Franco   .299, 6 HR, 20 RBI
3. LF  Randy Arozarena   .328, 9 HR, 30 RBI
4. 2B  Brandon Lowe   .204, 7 HR, 20 RBI
5. 3B  Taylor Walls   .276, 5 HR, 11 RBI
6. RF  Josh Lowe   .315, 6 HR, 19 RBI
7. CF  Jose Siri   .239, 3 HR, 11 RBI
8. 1B  Luke Raley   .233, 7 HR, 16 RBI
9. C  Francisco Mejía   .212, 1 HR, 5 RBI

 

Orioles

Starting Pitcher: Kyle Gibson: 4-1, 4.61 ERA, 5.93 K/9

1. LF  Austin Hays   .291, 4 HR, 11 RBI
2. DH  Adley Rutschman   .280, 4 HR, 18 RBI
3. 1B  Ryan Mountcastle   .252, 8 HR, 26 RBI
4. RF  Anthony Santander   .264, 5 HR, 20 RBI
5. SS  Jorge Mateo   .304, 6 HR, 19 RBI
6. C  James McCann   .217, 2 HR, 5 RBI
7. 2B  Adam Frazier   .240, 3 HR, 13 RBI
8. 3B  Ramón Urías   .274, 1 HR, 16 RBI
9. CF  Ryan McKenna   .306, 1 HR, 6 RBI

Pitching Matchup: McClanahan vs. Gibson

  • Shane McClanahan (Rays): 3.44 ERA, 35% K percentage, dominant against both lefties and righties
  • Kyle Gibson (Orioles): 5.18 xFIP, low K percentage, ground ball pitcher

Gibson, formerly of the Twins and Phillies, has found a home in Baltimore. As a ground ball pitcher, he manages to keep nearly 50% of hit balls on the ground. However, he struggles against left-handed batters, allowing a .455 weighted on-base percentage and a .255 ISO power number.

Betting Angle: Focusing on the Rays’ Left-Handed Batters

To capitalize on Gibson’s weakness against lefties, bettors should focus on the Rays’ left-handed batters, including Wander Franco, Brandon Lowe, and Francisco Mejía. These players offer the best RBI opportunities and will likely produce runs in this matchup.

Betting Insights:

Rays

  • The Tampa Bay Rays are 4-1 (.800) on the road as a favorite in their last five games in 2023
  • The over hit in 9 of the Tampa Bay Rays last 13 games on the road in 2023

Orioles

  • The over hit in 2 of the Baltimore Orioles last 5 games at home in 2023

 

Conclusion

As the Tampa Bay Rays face off against the Baltimore Orioles, betting enthusiasts should pay close attention to the pitching matchup and the Rays’ left-handed batters. With the Rays favored to win and their ace on the mound, the left-handed hitters should make an impact in this game. Keep an eye on these key factors when placing your bets on this exciting AL East battle.

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