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MLB 5/16 Preview: Nationals Vs. Marlins

<div class="game_preview_section sport_mlb" data-sr_id="38067373" data-sd_id="68818">
<div>
<h2>Nationals @ Marlins &#8211; First Pitch: 6:40 p.m.</h2>
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<div>Expected Forecast: Light Rain, 83°</div>
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<div> </div>
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<p>The <strong>Washington Nationals</strong> are set to face the <strong>Miami Marlins</strong> in what promises to be a captivating game. With <strong>Josiah Gray</strong> on the mound for the Nationals and <strong>Jesus</strong> <strong>Luzardo</strong> pitching for the Marlins, the home team enters as the favorites at a <strong>-169</strong> price. The <strong>total</strong> for this match is set at <strong>7.5</strong>, a noticeably lower figure compared to recent matches.</p>
<p>The Nationals and the Marlins had contrasting starts to the season, with the former struggling to find wins and the latter starting strongly. Interestingly, the Marlins have an impressive <strong>12-1</strong> record in one-run games this year. However, the script appears to have flipped in May, with Florida finding it difficult to secure wins and Washington playing solid baseball.</p>
<p>Gray, the Nationals&#8217; ace, is up against Luzardo in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. Gray&#8217;s <strong>xFIP</strong> over the past 30 days is a bit high at <strong>4.99</strong>, but his splits are impressive, holding both lefties and righties to <strong>low weighted on-base percentages</strong>. With LoanDepot Park being a pitcher-friendly ballpark and Miami&#8217;s lineup struggling against right-handed pitching over the past month, the Nationals might have an edge.</p>
<p>On the other hand, Luzardo has an elevated<strong> xFIP</strong> of <strong>5.32</strong>. He&#8217;s done a good job against left-handed batters, but right-handers have posed more of a challenge. Given these statistics, Washington, surprisingly, might be the better bet in this matchup.</p>
<p>The Nationals&#8217; performance this season has defied pre-season expectations, and they are currently hovering close to .500. With Gray showing promising signs, the Nationals could be a smart bet for this game despite being the road team.</p>
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<div class="game_preview_section sport_mlb" data-sr_id="38067373" data-sd_id="68818"></p>
<div>
<h2>Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:</h2>
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<div>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<th width="150px"> </th>
<th colspan="2" width="100px">Spread</th>
<th colspan="2" width="100px">Total</th>
<th width="100px">Moneyline</th>
<th width="100px"> </th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2"> Nationals</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="right">+1.5 </td>
<td align="right">-172 </td>
<td align="right">O 7.5 </td>
<td align="right">-114 </td>
<td align="center">+125</td>
<td> Open</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right">-157 </td>
<td align="right">7.5 </td>
<td align="right">-114 </td>
<td align="center">+144</td>
<td> Current</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2"> Marlins</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="right">-1.5 </td>
<td align="right"> +145 </td>
<td align="right">U 7.5 </td>
<td align="right">-106 </td>
<td align="center">-146</td>
<td> Open</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right"> +132 </td>
<td align="right">7.5 </td>
<td align="right"> -105 </td>
<td align="center">-169</td>
<td> Current</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<div>
<h2>Projected Lineups:</h2>
<h3>Nationals</h3>
<p><b>Starting Pitcher:</b> Josiah Gray: 3-5, 2.96 ERA, 7.88 K/9 </p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">1.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">RF</td>
<td width="200px"> Lane Thomas</td>
<td width="180px">  .285, 4 HR, 18 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">2.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">2B</td>
<td width="200px"> Luis García</td>
<td width="180px">  .270, 3 HR, 17 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">3.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">DH</td>
<td width="200px"> Joey Meneses</td>
<td width="180px">  .300, 2 HR, 22 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">4.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">3B</td>
<td width="200px"> Jeimer Candelario</td>
<td width="180px">  .219, 4 HR, 14 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">5.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">C</td>
<td width="200px"> Keibert Ruiz</td>
<td width="180px">  .242, 3 HR, 13 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">6.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">CF</td>
<td width="200px"> Alex Call</td>
<td width="180px">  .228, 3 HR, 16 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">7.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">1B</td>
<td width="200px"> Dominic Smith</td>
<td width="180px">  .271, 1 HR, 10 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">8.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">LF</td>
<td width="200px"> Stone Garrett</td>
<td width="180px">  .254, 1 HR, 7 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">9.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">SS</td>
<td width="200px"> CJ Abrams</td>
<td width="180px">  .258, 4 HR, 22 RBI</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p></p>
<h3>Marlins</h3>
<p><b>Starting Pitcher:</b> Jesús Luzardo: 3-2, 3.38 ERA, 9.53 K/9 </p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">1.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">CF</td>
<td width="200px"> Garrett Hampson</td>
<td width="180px">  .262, 1 HR, 7 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">2.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">1B</td>
<td width="200px"> Garrett Cooper</td>
<td width="180px">  .281, 3 HR, 14 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">3.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">2B</td>
<td width="200px"> Luis Arraez</td>
<td width="180px">  .382, 1 HR, 14 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">4.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">DH</td>
<td width="200px"> Jorge Soler</td>
<td width="180px">  .239, 9 HR, 20 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">5.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">LF</td>
<td width="200px"> Bryan De La Cruz</td>
<td width="180px">  .280, 3 HR, 13 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">6.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">3B</td>
<td width="200px"> Jean Segura</td>
<td width="180px">  .190, 0 HR, 4 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">7.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">RF</td>
<td width="200px"> Peyton Burdick</td>
<td width="180px">  .200, 1 HR, 2 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">8.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">C</td>
<td width="200px"> Nick Fortes</td>
<td width="180px">  .189, 1 HR, 5 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">9.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">SS</td>
<td width="200px"> Joey Wendle</td>
<td width="180px">  .107, 0 HR, 2 RBI</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<div>
<h2>Betting Insights:</h2>
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<h3>Nationals</h3>
<ul>
<li>The Washington Nationals are 3-2 (.600) on the road as an underdog in their last five games in 2023</li>
<li>The over hit in 3 of the Washington Nationals last 5 games on the road in 2023</li>
</ul>
<h3>Marlins</h3>
<ul>
<li>The over hit in 4 of the Miami Marlins last 5 games at home in 2023</li>
<li>The Miami Marlins are 1-4 (.200) at home as a favorite in their last five games in 2023</li>
</ul>
</div>


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