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MLB · 5 months ago

Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees 2025: Possibly His Best MLB Season Ever

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees Is Delivering the Best Season of His Career — And Bettors Are Taking Notice

A Historic First Half for the Yankees’ Captain

Judge has made a habit of rewriting baseball history books — but what he’s doing in 2025 might be his magnum opus. As we approach the midpoint of the season, the Yankees slugger is on pace to shatter his own records. Through Friday, Judge has eclipsed 30 home runs and boasts an OPS north of 1.260, surpassing the jaw-dropping 1.159 mark he set in 2024. For comparison, his legendary 2022 campaign — 62 HRs, 131 RBIs, .311 average, and 1.111 OPS — is starting to look like a warm-up act.

He’s also leading the American League in WAR, total bases, and extra-base hits. Add in his improved strikeout rate and the fact that Yankee Stadium has practically become his personal launch pad, and it’s hard not to call this the best season of his career to date.

Age 33 and Still Peaking

Judge turns 34 next April, but Father Time has yet to slow him down. Despite entering what many consider the back half of a slugger’s prime, his bat speed and power metrics remain elite. He’s seeing the ball better than ever, and his plate discipline has become a weapon — not just a safeguard.

There’s a realism that eventually the game will catch up to him. But right now? He’s not just staving off regression; he’s accelerating. A second 60+ HR season is in play, and depending on how the batting average shapes up, so is a potential Triple Crown bid. If that sounds absurd, it’s because Judge is redefining what’s possible.

Betting Markets Are Booming with Judge Prop Action

Sportsbooks are scrambling to keep up. Judge’s player props — especially home runs and RBIs — are getting hit hard daily. For example, entering the weekend:

  • To Hit a Home Run: -105 or shorter in most games, a rarity even for elite sluggers.

  • To Win AL MVP: Moved from +500 preseason to -200 as of June.

  • Season Totals (Live Adjusted Props):

    • Home Runs: Set around 61.5

    • RBIs: Hovering at 135.5

    • OPS: Adjusted to an almost unheard-of 1.200+ over/under

Bettors hammering the over have been rewarded repeatedly — Judge has already cashed more than half of his season-long HR prop in fewer than 80 games. At this rate, books may stop offering HR props altogether in short-slate matchups.

Can He Beat His 2022 Record?

That’s the million-dollar question — and the betting value might not be in “if” but “how high.” The Yankees lineup is deeper than in 2022, giving Judge better protection and more chances to do damage. He doesn’t need to chase; he’s being pitched to — and that’s lethal for opposing pitchers and sportsbooks alike.

Still, 62 home runs is a monumental ask. One slight cold spell or minor injury could derail the pace. But what’s even more tantalizing? A Triple Crown — a feat not accomplished in the AL since Miguel Cabrera of the Detroit Tigers in 2012.

Betting Insight: How to Approach Judge’s Futures

If you’re late to the MVP party, there’s still value in prop combo bets. Consider performance doubles:

  • Judge to Hit a HR + Yankees Win: Often priced around +220

  • Judge to Record 2+ Hits and a HR: Usually +450 or higher

  • Judge to Win MVP + Yankees to Win AL Pennant: Ranges from +500 to +750 depending on the book

For those looking long-term, hedging against a second-half swoon by investing in live totals (RBIs, HRs, slugging) may provide more flexibility. Just don’t wait too long — the market adjusts almost daily.

Final Word: Buy Now, Brag Later

Yes, he’s getting older. No, it doesn’t matter — not in 2025. Judge is scorching the league with video game numbers and has put sportsbooks in a bind. Whether you believe he can top 62 homers or finally bring home the elusive Triple Crown, one thing’s certain:

This is the best Aaron Judge we’ve ever seen.

And betting against him? That might be the riskiest play of all.

You can read all about what’s going on in Major League Baseball at SportsGrid.com.