Aaron Judge’s 2025 Outlook: Betting on the Yankees’ MVP
Sportsgrid Staff
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The New York Yankees‘ superstar Aaron Judge is once again poised for a dominant season in 2025. Coming off another MVP-caliber campaign, Judge’s power numbers and overall offensive output continue to rank among the best in baseball. With projections showing an OPS over 1.000, nearly 50 home runs, and around 120 RBI, he remains one of the premier outfielders in the game. But with Juan Soto‘s departure to the Mets, how will Judge’s production be affected? And more importantly, how should bettors approach wagering on his performance this season?
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Yankees Lineup Adjustments: The Impact of Juan Soto’s Departure
Losing Juan Soto—a player who reached base at a staggering .400+ clip last season—leaves a significant void in the Yankees’ lineup. Soto’s presence provided Judge with ample protection and scoring opportunities, making opposing pitchers pick their poison. With Soto gone, the Yankees are relying on bounce-back seasons from Cody Bellinger, continued development from Jason Dominguez and Anthony Volpe, and veteran consistency from Paul Goldschmidt.
That’s a lot of uncertainty. Soto was a sure thing. While the Yankees’ lineup still boasts power, its overall depth will be tested, potentially affecting Judge’s ability to see as many favorable pitches.
Betting on Aaron Judge: Futures and Prop Bets to Watch
If you’re looking to bet on Judge’s 2025 performance, here are some key markets to consider:
1. AL MVP Futures
Judge is among the frontrunners for AL MVP, but the loss of Soto could slightly impact his odds. If you believe Judge can still put up historic numbers despite the changes around him, betting on him early before his odds shorten could offer value.
2. Home Run Leader
Even with Soto gone, Judge remains a top contender for the MLB home run crown. His power remains unmatched, and as long as he stays healthy, a 50+ home run season is well within reach.
3. Over/Under Season Totals
Many sportsbooks will set season-long over/under props on home runs, RBI, and batting average. Given the changes in the Yankees’ lineup, analyzing his projected opportunities for runs and RBI production will be crucial.
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Judge vs. Soto: Who’s the Better Bet in 2025?
With Soto now in a Mets lineup that looks stacked from top to bottom, there’s a legitimate debate on whether Soto or Judge is the better overall bet in 2025. The Mets’ offensive firepower—arguably one of the best 1-4 lineups in baseball—suggests Soto will continue putting up elite numbers. However, the Mets’ pitching woes might force them into many high-scoring games, potentially boosting Soto’s counting stats even further.
If choosing between the two for MVP or season-long props, Judge offers slightly more consistency with his power, but Soto’s ability to get on base at an elite rate could give him an edge in runs scored and OBP-based categories.
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Yankees’ Betting Outlook: Hope or Hype?
The Yankees enter 2025 with a mix of proven talent and high-upside question marks. Judge remains the heart of the team, but success will hinge on key players stepping up. For bettors, monitoring early-season performance and lineup trends will be essential to finding value in futures markets and daily betting opportunities.
As the season approaches, Judge remains the face of Yankees baseball and a top name to watch in the betting market. Whether you’re backing him for MVP, a home run title, or key season-long props, one thing is certain—betting on Aaron Judge always brings excitement to the diamond.
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