The Pittsburgh Pirates’ Offense: Oneil Cruz Leading the Charge
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
While much of the buzz around the Pittsburgh Pirates focuses on their promising pitching staff, it’s their offense that could define their 2025 season. The biggest storyline? Oneil Cruz moving from shortstop to the outfield full-time. This transition might unlock his full potential at the plate, but it also raises questions about his overall value—both in fantasy baseball and betting markets.
Cruz’s combination of power and speed makes him one of MLB’s most exciting players. After a 20-home run, 20-stolen base season in 2024, projections indicate another 20-20 campaign, if not more. The upside for a 30-30 season is there, but so are the concerns—particularly his 30% strikeout rate and the impact of playing in PNC Park, one of the most pitcher-friendly stadiums in the league.
Swing for the Fences with SportsGrid’s free daily MLB Game Picks and MLB Prop Picks.
How PNC Park Affects Cruz’s Betting and Fantasy Value
PNC Park is a beautiful stadium, but for power hitters, it presents challenges. The ball doesn’t travel well, particularly for home runs. While this could limit Cruz’s ability to reach his full slugging potential, it also means more opportunities for doubles and triples—an area where his elite speed will come into play.
For bettors, this presents a unique opportunity. While home run props might be risky for Cruz in Pittsburgh, betting on his total bases, runs scored, or stolen bases could be more profitable throughout the season.
Best Bets for Oneil Cruz in 2025
If you’re looking to wager on Oneil Cruz’s performance this season, consider these betting angles:
1. Over/Under Home Run Total
Cruz’s home run line will likely be set in the mid-20s. While his raw power suggests he can exceed that, PNC Park’s dimensions could keep him under that number. However, if he plays more road games in hitter-friendly parks early in the season, the over could be an interesting play.
2. Stolen Bases Props
With a 20+ stolen base projection, betting the over on his stolen base total makes sense, especially considering his elite speed. If he reaches base at a respectable clip, his aggression on the basepaths could lead to a 30+ steal season.
3. Total Bases Props
Instead of betting on home runs, focusing on total bases props could be a better value. Given his ability to stretch singles into doubles and doubles into triples, this is an area where bettors can find more consistent returns.
4. Pirates Win Total Futures
The Pirates’ young pitching core could help them overachieve, but the lineup still lacks depth. If sportsbooks set their win total conservatively, betting the under on the Pirates’ total wins might be a sharp play—especially if the offense struggles to generate consistent run support.
Ranking the Top 7 Remaining MLB Free Agents in Spring Training
The Risk and Reward of Betting on Oneil Cruz
Cruz is an upside bet in both fantasy and real-world wagering. He has the tools to be a top-50 player, but his high strikeout rate and lineup support are concerns. Opposing pitchers may avoid him due to Pittsburgh’s lack of offensive depth, reducing his opportunities to drive in runs. However, his ability to generate extra-base hits and steals makes him a high-ceiling player to watch in betting markets.
Most Bet 2025 MLB Win Totals: Yankees, Dodgers and Red Sox Popular Plays
Final Thoughts: Is Cruz a Smart Bet in 2025?
Oneil Cruz remains a high-risk, high-reward player for the Pirates and bettors alike. If he improves his plate discipline and takes advantage of his speed, he could become one of the most valuable offensive weapons in the National League. For those looking to bet on him, focusing on stolen bases, total bases, and matchup-based props could be the best way to profit from his unique skill set.
The Pirates may still be a few years away from serious contention, but Cruz gives them a potential superstar—one that could pay off big for bettors willing to take the gamble.
Stay ahead of the game and elevate your sports betting experience with SportsGrid.
