MAC Tournament Dark Horse: Kent State (+850)
Kent State has been the victim of late-game variance plenty of times throughout the season. The Golden Flashes are far better than their 8-10 record indicates, losing ten of their 16 games by ten points or fewer this season. It's why they are at a lower price despite their sub-.500 record, and they've got a brutal first-round draw against #1 Toledo. We would advise proceeding with caution, though, because there may be some merit to an inability to close out games in closer, high-leverage game situations.