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NCAAF · 9 months ago

Colorado vs Kansas Week 13 Prediction | College Football Picks Today, Best Bets

Grant White

Host · Writer

Colorado vs Kansas Week 13 Prediction | College Football Picks Today, Best Bets

At the start of the season, most of the hype around the Colorado Buffaloes appeared undeserved. The Buffs hadn’t put together a winning season since 2016, and they fell flat on their faces at the end of last year. Here we are 12 weeks later, and Colorado appears destined for the Big 12 Championship Game. Standing in their way is a resilient Kansas Jayhawks team that has had a late-season resurgence. After winning two games through the first 10 weeks of the season, Kansas has matched that total with wins in each of their last two. While it’s a promising stretch, the Jayhawks will be tested by a playoff-hopeful Buffaloes team. They must be at their best if they hope to become bowl-eligible.

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Where to Watch Colorado vs Kansas

  • Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
  • Time: Saturday, November 23 at 3:30 p.m. ET | Where to Watch: Fox
  • Spread: Colorado -2.5 | Moneyline: Colorado-146 | Total: 59.5

Colorado vs Kansas Best Bet ATS: Kansas +2.5

Kudos to the Jayhawks for not giving up on the campaign. Despite winning just two games through the first 10 weeks, Kansas can salvage its bowl eligibility by winning its last four. They’re halfway to accomplishing their goal after last week’s win over the BYU Cougars. The Jayhawks’ success is grounded in solid offensive performances, and that upward trajectory carries them into a showdown against a regression-bound Colorado side. The Buffs have seen a dramatic increase in scoring over the past few weeks, averaging 41.3 points per game over their previous three. However, that surge in scoring is unsubstantiated by their underlying metrics. Colorado is holding steady in terms of production, averaging 400.7 yards per game over the three-game sample. That puts them roughly on track with their season-long average of 387.6. Expect the Buffaloes to see a decrease in scoring over the season’s final two weeks as their points per game fall closer to their season-long average of 34.4. As a result, Kansas should be expected to cover the spread on Saturday.

Check out SportsGrid’s models CFB Best Bets here.

Colorado vs Kansas Best Bet Total: Over 59.5

A decrease in scoring appears inevitable for Colorado, but they still possess enough offensive firepower to help send this game over the total. Featuring the likes of Shedeur Sanders, Travis Hunter, and Will Sheppard, the Buffaloes passing attack is one of the most vaunted units in the FBS. They average 308.6 passing yards per game, the eighth-most in the nation. Moreover, Kansas has struggled to defend the pass this season. The Jayhawks give up an average of 240.7 passing yards per game, putting them among the bottom tier in college football. Still, they have the dynamic offense to offset those shortcomings. Kansas has exceeded 400 yards of total offense in three of its past four, which has precipitated an increase in scoring. Improved offensive efficiency not only helps them cover the spread but should also push this game over the total.

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Colorado vs Kansas Best Player Props

Colorado Buffaloes Will Sheppard Over 61.5 Receiving Yards 

Most teams gameplan for containing Travis Hunter, but that’s allowed Will Sheppard to quietly assert himself as a solid 1B option. The senior has totaled 27 receptions and 392 receiving yards over his last six outings, eclipsing 61.5 yards in all but two of those contests. Further, he’s been Colorado’s top pass-catcher over that stretch. Sheppard has hauled in all but seven of the 34 passes thrown to him for an astounding 79.4% catch rate. While Hunter, and to a lesser extent LaJohntay Wester, deal with safety help and double-coverage, Sheppard has efficiently taken care of business. We’re betting on that trend continuing in Week 13, with the Buffaloes wide receiver surpassing 61.5 receiving yards against the Jayhawks.

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