SEC Best Bets: Week 4 of the 2024 College Football Season

The college football season continues, with Week 4 action kicking off shortly. What SEC bets should you make for the fourth week of action? The SEC has plenty of contenders looking to make their mark for a national championship in 2024, highlighted by Georgia, Texas, Alabama, and Ole Miss. The journey for these powerhouse programs continues in Week 4. Let’s dive in. 

We’ll highlight our weekly SEC best bets below and keep track of our betting record throughout the season. Good luck!

Season Record: 6-4-0 

Units: +4 Units

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SEC Play (1 Unit)

Florida Gators vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs 

Spread: Gators -6.5 (-106) | Bulldogs +6.5 (-114)
Moneyline: Gators -220 | Bulldogs +180
Total: OVER 58.5 (-105) | UNDER 58.5 (-115)

If the Florida Gators continue to operate with a two-quarterback system featuring Graham Mertz and DJ Lagway, that will create more good than bad for this offense. Lagway is by far the superior talent, and the program has much more invested in him. If we were certain Lagway would get all the snaps in this matchup, we might even look the Gators’ way to cover the number. Instead, we’re going in a completely different direction. There are concerns about whether these defenses can hold up in this matchup, which favors the offenses. Still, the total is slightly higher than we’re comfortable backing. With the Bulldogs at home and coming off a drubbing against Toledo, we expect they’ll at least be competitive in this matchup. With a wonky Florida offense that isn’t consistent every week, we’ll back Jeff Lebby’s defense to get some crucial late stops and keep the game under the number. 

Recommended Play: UNDER 58.5 (-110)

Bowling Green Falcons vs. No. 25 Texas A&M Aggies

Spread: Falcons +22.5 (-110) | Aggies -22.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Falcons +1160 | Aggies -2800
Total: OVER 52.5 (-104) | UNDER 52.5 (-118)

Entering the season, I was higher on Texas A&M than most people I spoke with. This team looked like it would be much better defensively and at least be able to find some rhythm on offense. Getting a read on what this program wants to accomplish this season has been challenging. This group has some upside, but the offense hasn’t inspired enough confidence to back them as more than three-touchdown favorites. On the other hand, the Bowling Green Falcons gave No. 10 Penn State all they could handle in Week 2 and are coming off a bye week. That gives them a lot of time to get familiar with this Aggies group, and we see them doing enough to cover the number. 

Recommended Play: Falcons +22.5 (-110)

Bigger SEC Play (2 Units)

UCLA Bruins vs. No. 16 LSU Tigers 

Spread: Bruins +24.5 (-124) | Tigers -24.5 (+102)
Moneyline: Bruins +1200 | Tigers -3000
Total: OVER 56.5 (-106) | UNDER 56.5 (-114)

The No. 16 LSU Tigers are coming off a Houdini-like escape against South Carolina on the road in Week 3. There have been some real reasons to be bullish about this program, but not enough to have immense confidence in them to cover a significant number. I don’t have confidence in UCLA’s offense, and despite having explosive elements, I don’t expect the LSU offense to punch the Bruins in the face, either. Together, these teams average close to 50 points per game, which makes it slightly puzzling how the total is higher than the mid-50s here. Even if you give the Tigers some benefit of the doubt to click offensively in this matchup, I don’t envision the Bruins scoring enough offense to go over the number. 

Recommended Play: UNDER 56.5 (-114)

Biggest SEC Play (3 Units)

None in Week 4. 

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