Sportsgrid-Staff

Analyzing 2025 NFL MVP Favorites and Some Long Shots

As we approach the <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nfl">NFL</a> regular season, the 2025 NFL MVP betting market is already heating up. Whether you&#8217;re a sharp bettor or a casual fan looking to gain an edge, understanding MVP odds movement and the narratives behind the players is essential to making smart wagers.
Here’s a breakdown of the best value bets, long shot picks, and NFL MVP futures strategy to help you maximize ROI this season.
Tackle the Odds with SportsGrid’s Expert <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nfl/picks">NFL Game Picks</a> and <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nfl/player-props">NFL Player Prop Picks</a>.
<h2 data-start="758" data-end="805">Lamar Jackson MVP Odds: Is +500 a Smart Bet?</h2>
<a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nfl/players/lamar-jackson/2607">Lamar Jackson</a> (+500) is among the MVP favorites for good reason. He’s a dual-threat QB with a history of elite production and remains the engine of the <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nfl/depth-chart/baltimore-ravens-depth-chart">Baltimore Ravens</a> offense.
<ul data-start="994" data-end="1245">
<li data-start="994" data-end="1078">
Why it works: Stellar numbers year after year, high team win total projections
</li>
<li data-start="1079" data-end="1245">
Why it’s tricky: Historically, MVP winners don’t win the Super Bowl, and if you&#8217;re also betting the Ravens to win it all, there&#8217;s a potential hedge conflict
</li>
</ul>
Best strategy: If you’re already betting the Ravens to win the AFC or the Super Bowl, be cautious about over-investing in Lamar’s MVP stock. Still, at +500, he remains one of the best NFL MVP value picks early in the market.
<a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nfl/article/2025-fantasy-football-tight-end-draft-strategy-and-analysis">2025 Fantasy Football: Tight End Draft Strategy and Analysis</a>
<h2 data-start="1486" data-end="1541">Joe Burrow MVP Value: A Narrative-Driven Bet at +600</h2>
<a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nfl/players/joe-burrow/16237">Joe Burrow</a> (+600) is perhaps the best value among the MVP favorites right now. He hasn’t won the award yet, and the media often looks to “spread the love” among deserving players.
<ul data-start="1732" data-end="1912">
<li data-start="1732" data-end="1912">
Why Burrow makes sense:
<ul data-start="1764" data-end="1912">
<li data-start="1764" data-end="1805">
He’s elite in both stats and leadership
</li>
<li data-start="1808" data-end="1851">
The Bengals have a playoff-caliber roster
</li>
<li data-start="1854" data-end="1912">
The NFL MVP often rewards “it’s his time” narratives
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
If Burrow can stay healthy and Cincinnati finishes as a top-two seed in the AFC, he’s in perfect position to cash in.
Betting tip: Combine Burrow MVP with Bengals AFC North winner for a correlated parlay or futures stack.
<a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nfl/article/saquon-barkley-of-the-philadelphia-eagles-stellar-2024-season-and-2025-outlook">Saquon Barkley of the Philadelphia Eagles Stellar 2024 Season and 2025 Outlook</a>
<h2 data-start="2151" data-end="2203">Jalen Hurts: The Best Long Shot MVP Bet at +2000?</h2>
<a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nfl/players/jalen-hurts/1340">Jalen Hurts</a> (+2000) offers intriguing value as a long shot MVP candidate in 2025. Here’s why this wager makes sense:
<ul data-start="2331" data-end="2554">
<li data-start="2331" data-end="2410">
<a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nfl/players/saquon-barkley/1030">Saquon Barkley</a> is coming off a high-volume 2024 season (over 2,000 yards)
</li>
<li data-start="2411" data-end="2502">
Historical trends show that RBs coming off massive workloads often regress or get injured
</li>
<li data-start="2503" data-end="2554">
Hurts could take on a larger offensive load again
</li>
</ul>
If the Eagles regain dominance with Hurts leading the charge and Barkley’s role is diminished, Hurts becomes a dark horse worth watching.
Historical insight: In the last 25 years, running backs with 2,000+ yards or 400+ touches have seen major drop-offs the following season. That supports the argument for Hurts as a value bet for NFL MVP.
March down the field with SportsGrid’s FREE Top <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nfl/picks">NFL Game Picks</a> and <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nfl/player-props">NFL Player Prop Picks</a> weekly!
<h2 data-start="2912" data-end="2962">NFL MVP Futures Strategy: How to Maximize Value</h2>
The key to beating the MVP market is diversifying your bets and playing both ends of the spectrum—favorites and long shots. Here&#8217;s a recommended approach:
<ul data-start="3124" data-end="3488">
<li data-start="3124" data-end="3198">
✅ Take a favorite early (Burrow or Lamar) at the best available odds
</li>
<li data-start="3199" data-end="3266">
✅ Pair with long shot exposure (Hurts or another breakout QB)
</li>
<li data-start="3267" data-end="3381">
✅ Avoid stacking MVP bets on players from teams you&#8217;re also betting to win the Super Bowl (to reduce hedge risk)
</li>
<li data-start="3382" data-end="3488">
✅ Watch for injury updates and team performance trends as the season starts to adjust your positions
</li>
</ul>
<a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nfl/article/tier-6-7-wide-receivers-heading-towards-2025-season">Tier 6-7 Wide Receivers Heading Towards 2025 Season</a>
<h2 data-start="3495" data-end="3548">Final Word: Monitor and Adjust as the Market Moves</h2>
As the season unfolds, you’ll want to revisit NFL MVP odds weekly, tracking movement and injury trends. The best ROI often comes from getting in early before the public catches on.
<h3 data-start="3736" data-end="3768">2025 MVP Bets to Target Now:</h3>
<ul data-start="3769" data-end="3958">
<li data-start="3769" data-end="3822">
✅ Joe Burrow (+600): Best narrative-driven favorite
</li>
<li data-start="3823" data-end="3889">
✅ Lamar Jackson (+500): Elite production, but hedge with caution
</li>
<li data-start="3890" data-end="3958">
✅ Jalen Hurts (+2000): High-upside long shot, great buy-low window
</li>
</ul>
Stay ahead of the game and elevate your sports betting experience with<a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/"> SportsGrid</a>.

2025 NFL MVP Odds: Early Betting Strategy and Long Shot Picks

Assessing the Colts' future with Anthony Richardson and Jonathan Taylor. The team possesses stellar talents, but the team's prospects seem unpredictable.

Indianapolis Colts Outlook: Promising Roster Faces Uncertainty

2025 NFL MVP watch: Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson lead, with Jalen Hurts as the standout underdog. Matt and Joe spend some time breaking down the odds market.

Derrick Henry elevates the Ravens' offense and fantasy football allure, boosting Lamar Jackson's stats and team synergy. Check out our team preview here!

Exploring AFC North: Impact of Ravens on the AFC Race

LATEST VIDEOS

NFL MVP odds 2025,Joe Burrow MVP odds,Lamar Jackson MVP betting,Jalen Hurts long shot MVP,2025 NFL futures bets,NFL MVP value picks,early MVP betting strategy,betting odds NFL MVP,fantasy football MVP picks,NFL regular season MVP bets,top MVP candidates 2025,Saquon Barkley regression,dual-threat quarterbacks MVP,NFL MVP narrative betting,top NFL prop bets 2025,best long shot MVP NFL,MVP odds movement tracker,NFL betting futures 2025,2025 MVP betting favorites,how to bet MVP NFL,Lamar Jackson,Joe Burrow,Jalen Hurts,Saquon Barkley,Baltimore Ravens,Baltimore  MD,AFC,AFC North,Cincinnati Bengals,Cincinnati  OH,Philadelphia Eagles,Philadelphia  PA,NFC,NFC East

keywords

twitter:card

twitter:title

https://sg-images-bucket.nyc3.cdn.digitaloceanspaces.com/thumnbail-webp/article/2110489-1920x1080.webp?v=1753093205

twitter:image

thumbnail

google

The 2025 NFL season is right around the corner, and teams are gearing up for the preseason. What MVP frontrunners should you bet before the start of the season?

description

expires

robots

og:locale

og:site_name

og:type

og:title

og:description

og:image

og:image:type

og:image:width

og:image:height

og:image:secure_url

article:published_time

article:modified_time

2025 Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview: High Risk, Unclear Reward

AFC East Betting Preview: Can the Buffalo Bills Hit the Over in 2025?

2025 Fantasy Football: Tight End Draft Strategy and Analysis

Navigating Fantasy Football: Running Back Insights

Exploring Ashton Jeanty's Impact on the Las Vegas Raiders

Saquon Barkley of the Philadelphia Eagles Stellar 2024 Season and 2025 Outlook

Tier 6-7 Wide Receivers Heading Towards 2025 Season

Carolina Panthers Rookie WR Tetairoa McMillan Creates Early Buzz

Davante Adams of the Los Angeles Rams Outlook in 2025

Analyzing Malik Nabers of the New York Giants Impact on Fantasy Football

2025 NFL Mock Draft

2025 Free Agents Ranked

Predicting Free Agent Landing Spots

2025 NFL Draft Home

2025 NFL Free Agency Hub

SportsMillions: Pick'em, Blitz'em and Social Casino

Best NFL Sportsbook Promos

Comment

Home

Articles

SportsGrid is your source for the best sports bets today. Watch SportsGrid for live sports news coverage, scores, odds, moneylines, sports betting tips & more.

sportsgrid.com

Ferrall Coast To Coast

College Football Today

NFL Pro Football Today

Bare Knuckle Fighting Main Event

The Early Line Live

SportsRage Tonight Live

NewsWire Live

The Bostonian Vs. The Book

Bare Knuckle Fighting Knuckle Up

MODUS Super Series Darts

Gametime Decisions Live

Fantasy Sports Today

Color Up How To Win At Craps

The Smylie Kaufman Show

Daily Racing Form Weekend Preview

Combat Sports Report

NHL Today

LatiNation Futbol Club

MLB Pro Baseball Today

2025 NFL Draft Special

Front Office Sports Today

2025 NBA Draft SportsGrid Special

OUR SHOWS

Cade Cunningham, an MVP contender, has propelled the Detroit Pistons to a top-four position in the Eastern Conference. Does he have enough value for the award?

Cade Cunningham's Potential MVP Rise & Detroit's Outlook

At the WNBA midpoint, the Minnesota Lynx lead with 20 victories, Alyssa Thomas excels in MVP discussions, and the Liberty emerges as a title frontrunner.

Minnesota Lynx Dominate WNBA Midseason with 20 Wins

The Philadelphia 76ers set their sights on over 41.5 wins, looking to greatly boost last season's 24 wins amid challenges and health across the roster.

Philadelphia 76ers: Poised for a Seasonal Leap in Wins?

Exploring NBA Coach of the Year candidates Jamahl Mosley and Quin Snyder, showcasing their teams' progress and tactical innovations heading into next season.

Exploring NBA Coach of the Year Favorites and Odds

LATEST SPORTSGRID VIDEOS

Wherever you are, SportsGrid can be there too. Here are all of the platforms and subscription services you can find us on and how to watch SportsGrid today.

Where to Watch SportsGrid | How to Watch SportsGrid | SportsGrid

Samsung TV Plus

Roku TV

FireTV

LG Channels

Vizio

Xiaomi

VIDAA

SportsGrid is free to watch on any of the following Connected TV’s

FREE ON MY TV

Amazon Prime Video

YouTube TV

FuboTV

Plex

Sling Tv

FreeCast

Local Now

Stremium

Rad TV

Free Live Sports

SportsGrid is free to watch on any of the following Streaming services

LIVE STREAMING SERVICES

Sirius XM

Sports.Tv

YouTube

Download the new SportsGrid app, watch on SportsGrid.com or our YouTube Channel

WEB/MOBILE

SportsGrid is free to watch on any of the following platforms

ALL PARTNERS

Wherever you are, SportsGrid can be there too. Here are all of the platforms and subscription services you can find us on:

WHERE TO WATCH SPORTSGRID

MORE ARTICLES

Sports Betting

Sportsbook Promos

Social Casinos