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NFL · 1 year ago

Impact of Player Performances in Recent NFL Games: Week 16 RB DFS

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

Week 16 Fantasy Football Running Back Breakdown: Start/Sit and Betting Insights

The running back position is critical in Week 16, with playoff matchups and DFS lineups hanging in the balance. Let’s break down the top-tier options, mid-tier values, and cheaper plays that could deliver for your fantasy team and provide betting opportunities.

Top-Tier Running Backs: Reliable Options

  1. Jonathan Taylor (Indianapolis Colts) – $6,900

    • Fantasy Insight: Taylor is a boom-or-bust play this week. His workload remains solid, but Indianapolis’ offensive struggles cap his ceiling. He’s a mid-tier RB1 with touchdown dependency.
    • Betting Angle: Look at the under on his rushing yards prop if the Colts fall behind early.

  2. Tony Pollard (Tennessee Titans) – $6,600

    • Fantasy Insight: Pollard is coming off consistent performances and remains the focal point of Titans’ rushing attack. He’s an RB1 against a favorable matchup.
    • Betting Angle: Bet on Pollard to hit the over on rushing yards if the Titans control the game script.

  3. Aaron Jones (Minnesota Vikings) – $6,400

    • Fantasy Insight: Jones has been heating up, showcasing his dual-threat ability. He’s a high-end RB2 with RB1 upside if Minnesota stays competitive.
    • Betting Angle: Consider anytime touchdown for Jones, as he’s heavily involved in the red zone.

Mid-Tier Running Backs: Solid Plays with Upside

  1. Chuba Hubbard (Carolina Panthers) – $6,800

    • Fantasy Insight: Hubbard has been steady, offering a reliable floor in PPR formats. He’s a strong RB2 option against a middle-of-the-road defense.
    • Betting Angle: Bet the over on total yards, as Hubbard contributes both on the ground and through the air.

  2. Brian Robinson Jr. (Washington Commanders) – $6,200

    • Fantasy Insight: Robinson has been effective and is heavily utilized near the goal line. He’s a safe RB2 with touchdown upside.
    • Betting Angle: Anytime touchdown is a solid bet, given his role as Washington’s primary goal-line back.

  3. Zach Charbonnet (Seattle Seahawks) – $6,300

    • Fantasy Insight: With Seattle’s backfield banged up, Charbonnet could see increased touches. Monitor his injury status before locking him in.
    • Betting Angle: If active, Charbonnet could hit the over on total touches.

Budget Running Backs: High Risk, High Reward

  1. Jerome Ford (Cleveland Browns) – $5,600

    • Fantasy Insight: Ford is a volume play with pass-catching upside. Cleveland’s game plan likely includes heavy rushing to keep Cincinnati’s offense off the field.
    • Betting Angle: Bet the over on Ford’s rushing attempts if his line is set under 15.

  2. D’Andre Swift (Chicago Bears) – $5,800

    • Fantasy Insight: Swift remains a pass-catching threat but struggles with game scripts where Chicago falls behind early. He’s a risky flex play in standard formats but holds value in PPR.
    • Betting Angle: If the Eagles fall behind, bet the over on Swift’s receptions prop.

Risky Plays to Avoid

  1. Breece Hall (New York Jets) – Limited snaps and inconsistent production make Hall a fade this week.
  2. Rhamondre Stevenson (New England Patriots) – A tough matchup and poor offense limit his upside.
  3. Alexander Mattison (Las Vegas Raiders) – With Sincere McCormick out, Mattison could see more work, but his inefficiency makes him a risky play.

Betting on Running Backs

  1. Ford Props:

    • Over 60 Rushing Yards: Likely to be leaned on heavily early in the game.
    • Anytime Touchdown: A risky but rewarding play in DFS or as a side bet.

  2. Pollard Props:

    • Over 80 Rushing Yards: He’s hitting his stride, and Tennessee could dominate.
    • Anytime Touchdown: Pollard is a safe bet to find the end zone.

  3. Hubbard Props:

    • Over 85 Total Yards: With his dual-threat usage, this feels like an achievable number.

Final Word

The running back position in Week 16 offers a mix of reliable stars and intriguing budget options. Lean on Pollard and Hubbard for stability, while players like Ford and Swift provide sneaky upside. For betting, focus on game scripts and running back usage trends to identify the best props.

Good luck this week!

You can read all about what’s going on in the National Football League at SportsGrid.com.