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NFL · 1 year ago

NFL Week 12 Fantasy Football: Top Quarterback Picks for DFS

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

The quarterback position often defines fantasy football success, and Week 12 offers intriguing options across all price points. From paying up for top-tier stars like Jalen Hurts to finding value with mobile quarterbacks like Kyler Murray and Anthony Richardson, there’s something for every fantasy manager and DFS player. Let’s break it all down with insights, strategies, and betting elements for quarterbacks this week.

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Elite Options: Jalen Hurts and Jared Goff

Jalen Hurts ($9,300):
Hurts is the most expensive quarterback this week for a reason. His dual-threat ability offers a sky-high ceiling in both cash games and tournaments. Expect:

  • Consistent rushing production with 50+ yards on the ground.
  • Multiple touchdown opportunities through the air and on the ground.

Hurts is a lock for cash games, though his price may limit roster flexibility in tournaments.

Jared Goff ($8,500):
Jared Goff has been a reliable fantasy option, especially when playing in controlled environments like Ford Field. While his price is high, Goff thrives in matchups where he can air it out to his talented receiving corps. He’s an excellent cash play but might lack the upside for large-field DFS tournaments.

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Mid-Tier Values: Kyler Murray, Anthony Richardson, and Geno Smith

Kyler Murray ($7,800):
Coming off a bye week, Murray is in a prime spot to deliver against a Seattle Seahawks defense that has been inconsistent. Key points:

  • Rushing upside: Murray’s mobility adds a safe floor with big-play potential.
  • Game script: Arizona’s offense will need to score to stay competitive, boosting Murray’s passing volume.

Anthony Richardson ($7,500):
Richardson’s value lies in his rushing equity. Even in a tough matchup, his ability to generate points on the ground makes him a strong DFS and fantasy option. Look for:

  • 50+ rushing yards and a potential touchdown.
  • Modest passing production that complements his ground game.

Geno Smith ($7,400):
Geno Smith has been a steady presence in fantasy, thanks to his ability to pile up passing yards. In a divisional game against the Arizona Cardinals, expect him to take advantage of a weaker secondary. His lower price compared to Hurts and Goff makes him an appealing pivot in tournaments.

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Budget Play: Bo Nix ($8,000)

Bo Nix might not have been on your radar earlier in the season, but he’s quickly proven his worth. His DFS price reflects his recent performances, making him an intriguing option.

  • Fantasy consistency: Nix is putting up points as a dual-threat QB.
  • Matchup: Facing a struggling defense gives him the opportunity to shine.

While his price may deter some players, Nix is a great contrarian play for tournaments.

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DFS Strategy: Choosing the Right QB for Your Lineup

  • Cash Games:
    • Spend up for Jalen Hurts or Jared Goff for their reliability.
  • Tournaments:
    • Focus on mid-tier quarterbacks like Kyler Murray, Geno Smith, or Anthony Richardson to maximize upside while saving salary for other positions.

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Betting Insights: Quarterback Props to Watch

Passing Yards Over/Under:

  • Jared Goff: Bet the over if facing a weak secondary.
  • Geno Smith: A strong candidate for 275+ yards against Arizona.

Rushing Yards Props:

  • Jalen Hurts and Anthony Richardson: Their rushing abilities make them excellent options for 50+ rushing yards props.
  • Kyler Murray: Coming off a bye, his legs will likely be a factor in Week 12.

Anytime Touchdown Scorer:

  • Both Hurts and Richardson are strong bets for anytime rushing touchdowns.

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Takeaways for Week 12 Quarterbacks

  1. Pay Up for Elite Options: Jalen Hurts is the top play if you can afford his price.
  2. Mid-Tier Targets for Value: Kyler Murray, Anthony Richardson, and Geno Smith offer a blend of affordability and upside.
  3. Contrarian Play: Bo Nix is a sneaky pick for tournaments with his rising stock and favorable matchup.

Whether you’re setting your DFS lineups or making bets on quarterback props, Week 12 offers opportunities to capitalize on high-upside plays. Choose wisely and watch your fantasy teams soar!

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