NFL Week 7 Predictions | Sunday Picks Today, Best Bets

You’ll want to make sure your couch doesn’t fly away because Week 7 of the NFL season features a bevy of must-see matchups. Highlighted by a rematch of Super Bowl LVIII, Sunday’s main slate is rife with intrigue. The Minnesota Vikings will try to stay undefeated against the Detroit Lions. The Philadelphia Eagles need to get their offense in order against a surprising New York Giants side. And that’s without considering the overseas game, divisional rivalries, or primetime showdowns that add to the excitement.

We’ve got you covered for betting purposes, highlighting our favorite wagers for this week’s NFL action.

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers

Spread: Chiefs +1.5 (-110) | 49ers -1.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Chiefs +108 | 49ers -126
Total: OVER 47.5 (-105) | UNDER 47.5 (-115)

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Never in short supply of public money, the Kansas City Chiefs find themselves in a curious position in Week 7. The two-time defending champs opened as short +0.5 underdogs but the line continues to move in the San Francisco 49ers‘ favor. That means now is the time to buy the 49ers to make sure you’re getting the best part of the line. 

Injuries and an underwhelming start have hampered the Niners’ outlook, but there’s reason for optimism moving forward. The receiving corps is back to full strength, and Christian McCaffrey is nearing a return, as well. In his absence, Jordan Mason and Isaac Guerendo have fared exceptionally well in supporting roles, effectively negating McCaffrey’s absence. That’s allowed the 49ers to carry on with business as usual, without compromising their systems or play-calling. 

With the home crowd at its back, San Francisco can exploit the Chiefs’ most glaring weakness on Sunday. Kansas City shuffled its secondary, exposing some holes that weren’t previously there. That’s resulted in a 30-yard increase in the passing yards they are allowing, going from 185.8 in 2023 to 217.0 this season. We’ve seen Brock Purdy distribute the football to all of the Niners’ pass-catchers, which will be their biggest advantage in Week 7. 

KC may be undefeated, but they haven’t been as efficient this season. Worse, the Chiefs are dealing with their own injuries, impacting their offensive production and outlook moving forward. All of that points toward the 49ers winning and covering the short spread. 

Recommended Play: 49ers -1.5 -110

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Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons

Spread: Seahawks +3 (-120) | Falcons -3 (-102)
Moneyline: Seahawks +130 | Falcons -154
Total: OVER 50.5 (-118) | UNDER 50.5 (-104)

At first glance, this appears to be a troublesome spot for the Seattle Seahawks. Traveling across the country for an earlier-than-usual kick-off rarely fares well for West Coast teams. But after playing on Thursday night in Week 6, the Seahawks have ample time to prepare for Sunday’s clash against the Atlanta Falcons. 

Offense has been the name of the game for the Seahawks this year. And they’ve had to be at their best to offset some of their defensive shortcomings. Mike McDonald has adopted a different philosophical approach on offense, unleashing the best passing attack in the NFL. That’s resulted in an uptick in scoring, with the NFC West contenders recording three more points per game in 2024 compared to last year. Still, Seattle ranks among the worst in total and scoring defense, sitting 20th and 24th, respectively. 

Those weaknesses will be on full display against the Falcons multi-faceted offense. Led by Bijan Robinson, Drake London, and Kirk Cousins, Atlanta can beat its opponents in a number of ways. We’ve seen the best they have to offer over their recent sample, with the Falcons riding a three-game win streak into this intra-conference showdown. As expected, scoring has been at the forefront of all of those contests. Atlanta is averaging 33.3 points per game over the three-game sample, sailing over the total each time out.

The Falcons and Seahawks’ high-scoring trends carry them into this NFC tilt, and we’re not expecting either team to take their foot off the pedal. Points will be scored freely in this one, eclipsing the 50.5 total.

Recommended Play: Over 50.5 -118

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Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

Spread: Eagles -3 (-120) | Giants +3 (-102)
Moneyline: Eagles -174 | Giants +146
Total: OVER 42.5 (-115) | UNDER 42.5 (-105)

I’m not sure where the confidence is coming from, but the Philadelphia Eagles hardly seem deserving of the credit. The Eagles are currently sitting as -3 chalk against the New York Giants, a distinction that has failed them at nearly every point this season. 

Take note of this Eagles’ trend. Philadelphia has failed to cover the spread as favorites in three of four games this season, losing outright in two of those contests. Further, that troublesome record is validated by a decrease in their scoring metrics. The Eagles have put up 21.6 points per game in 2024, more than a three-point drop relative to last year’s output. 

Those offensive concerns will persist for at least one more week. The Giants have tightened their defensive bootstraps this year, posting substantive improvements across the board. They have a top-ten total defense, holding opponents to 314.0 yards per game, almost a 50-point drop compared to 2023. Predictably, this correlates with a three-point drop in the points per game allowed. New York has contained some noteworthy offenses over its recent schedule. We expect that to continue in Week 7’s home matchup versus the Eagles.

Bettors are giving Philadelphia too much credit for beating an already-defeated Cleveland Browns team last week. New York has been a resilient squad, and the Giants will be at their best for this crucial NFC East battle. Even if the Eagles fly away victorious, it won’t be by more than three points.

Recommended Play: Giants +3 -102

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns

Spread: Bengals -5.5 (-108) | Browns +5.5 (-112)
Moneyline: Bengals -255 | Browns +210
Total: OVER 41.5 (-112) | UNDER 41.5 (-108)

Trading away Amari Cooper signals the beginning of the end for the Cleveland Browns. Desperately needing to find a way to invigorate their offense, the Browns traded away their top offensive playmaker for future pieces. That puts them at an insurmountable deficit against the soon-to-be-surging Cincinnati Bengals. 

Before getting traded, Cooper accounted for the most targets, receptions, receiving yards, and touchdowns. Now, they’re left with one wide receiver who has more than 98 receiving yards and a quarterback who won’t be able to get anyone else the ball. Consequently, there’s no way they can keep pace with the Bengals offense, on the verge of a breakout. 

Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins have cemented themselves as one of the best-receiving duos in the league. Over their last three games, Chase and Higgins have combined for 727 receiving yards and seven touchdowns. That’s taken a lot of heat off the Bengals running game, letting both areas function in tip-top shape. Still, Cincinnati’s scoring doesn’t reflect its improved offensive efficiency, implying that we should see a surge in scoring over their coming games. 

Cleveland’s defense may hold up early, but we expect Myles Garrett and company to crack the longer the game drags on. Watch Chase and Higgins shine again in Week 7, helping the Bengals cover the intermediate spread as road favorites.

Recommended Play: Bengals -5.5 -108

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