Sweden vs USA 4 Nations Face-Off Betting Trends and Game Picks
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
The 4 Nations Face-Off has brought together top-tier international hockey talent, and through two games, the United States has emerged as the early frontrunner. With a perfect 2-0 record, USA sits atop the standings with six points, followed by Canada, Finland, and Sweden, each with two points. Although the USA has already punched its ticket into the finals, momentum is everything in a short tournament like this, so don’t expect them to take their foot off the gas tonight. Having their first game in front of a raucous US-centric crowd in Boston will also amp up the team. Let’s dive into the betting landscape for the tournament and the USA’s upcoming matchup against Sweden with insights from BetMGM.
4 Nations Face-Off Central
Top 10 US Players | Top 10 Overall Players | Where to Watch
USA-SWE: Same Game Parlay
Tournament Standings and Betting Futures
The United States’ dominance thus far has positioned them as the betting favorite to win the tournament. Initially opening at +175, USA’s current odds have moved to -160, reflecting strong public confidence. They hold 44.7% of total bets and 42.7% of the total betting handle. Meanwhile, Canada, which opened at +135, has slightly lengthened to +155, holding 35.8% of tickets but commanding a tournament-leading 50.6% of the handle. Finland and Sweden are heavy underdogs at +1700 and +4000, respectively, with limited betting action.
| Team | Opening Odds | Current Odds | Ticket% | Handle% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 175 | -160 | 44.7% | 42.7% |
| Canada | 135 | 155 | 35.8% | 50.6% |
| Finland | 700 | 1700 | 11.9% | 4.4% |
| Sweden | 500 | 4000 | 7.7% | 2.4% |
4 Nation’s Face-Off: USA vs Sweden Game Info
- Location: TD Garden (Boston, MA)
- Date: Monday, Feb. 17
- Where to Watch: TNT/Max
- Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Sweden vs USA Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates
Key Betting Insights for USA vs. Sweden
The USA will face Sweden in their third game of the tournament tonight as they aim to remain undefeated. According to BetMGM, the opening moneyline had the USA at -250, but it has since adjusted to -200, reflecting increased action on Sweden. Sweden’s line has moved from +200 to +165, indicating growing interest among bettors.
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Moneyline & Betting Trends
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USA ML: Opened at -250, now -200
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Sweden ML: Opened at +200, now +165
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Bet Distribution: USA holds 78% of total bets and 79% of the handle, showing strong public support.
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Puck Line Movement: USA opened at -1.5 (+115) and now sits at -1.5 (+125), suggesting confidence in a multi-goal win.
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Total Goals Market
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The over/under opened at 5.5 goals, with the over at +105 and under at -115.
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The total has since moved to 6 goals, with the over priced at +100 and the under at -120.
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77% of bets and 46% of the handle are on the over, suggesting expectations of a high-scoring game.
Player and Team Performances Impacting Betting Lines
Skater Statistics and Key Players
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Jake Guentzel (USA) leads the tournament with three goals and tied for the points lead with four.
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Zach Werenski (USA) has a tournament-best four assists, showing strong playmaking ability from the blueliner.
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Jack Eichel (USA) is right behind his American teammates with three points and a +2 rating.
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Lucas Raymond (Sweden) leads his team with three points, all assists, making him a crucial player against the USA.
Goaltending Standout Performances
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Connor Hellebuyck (USA) has been elite, leading the tournament in wins (two), GAA (1.00) and save percentage (.957).
- Filip Gustavsson (Sweden) has struggled in two starts, with a .813 SV% and a 4.19 GAA. Linus Ullmark replaced him to start the second period of Sweden’s 4-3 loss to Finland on Saturday. Expect Ullmark to get the nod tonight.
With Hellebuyck in net and USA’s offensive firepower, Sweden will have a tough challenge breaking through.
Final Betting Recommendations
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USA Moneyline (-200): Given their form and Sweden’s defensive struggles, the USA remains a solid pick despite their odds shortening.
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USA -1.5 Puck Line (+125): With Sweden struggling to score, USA winning by multiple goals is a strong bet.
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Over 6 Goals (+100): With the USA averaging 4.50 goals per game and Sweden allowing 4.00, this could be a high-scoring affair.
The United States has solidified itself as the team to beat in the 4 Nations Face-Off. With strong betting support and dominant performances, they are well-positioned for continued success. As they take on Sweden, expect the odds to continue favoring them, making this an exciting opportunity for bettors looking for value plays.
*All BetMGM Data based on Straight Bets
