Anytime Touchdown Bets You Need to Place for NFL Week 18

CeeDee Lamb + Josh Allen (+190)

I’ve bet this parlay for four straight weeks, and it’s cashed each time, so I have to share the wealth for the regular season finale. Looking back at the last eight weeks, this parlay would have cashed seven times in total, so getting this at +190 when the Cowboys need a win to lock up the division and the Bills need a win to take home the AFC East title is a bet I can’t pass up. Let’s throw two units on this parlay.

David Montgomery (+125)

David Montgomery has been another one of our wagons this season, so given that indications out of the Lions’ building are that the starters will play a full game Sunday, I still find value in Montgomery finding the endzone. He’s scored a touchdown in 10 of 12 games this season where he hasn’t been injured and still is splitting the backfield with Jahmyr Gibbs. While Gibbs may have the added upside with his receiving work, Montgomery’s short-yardage dominance is the kicker for us. At +125, this is a must bet.

Bijan Robinson (+105)

Bijan Robinson should be on my banned list, knowing how he’s treated us this season. Still, the Falcons need a win to ensure they have any chance whatsoever of making the playoffs, so with the season on the line, I’m hoping that Arthur Smith is smart enough to keep the ball in Robinson’s hands as much as possible since anyone shouldn’t want the fate of the season in the hands of either Desmond Ridder or Taylor Heinicke. Robinson only has seven touchdowns on the season, but he did have a two-touchdown outing against the Saints already this year, so I’m expecting (with caution) Smith to go back to him heavily.

DJ Moore (+135)

The Chicago Bears aren’t playing for anything this week this season, but I still expect them to give their best effort to ensure Justin Fields is their quarterback heading into 2024. Fields has played well in recent weeks, likely giving him a fair shot to solidify his status as the Bears’ franchise QB, but a dominant showing Sunday will help him that much more. For that to happen, he needs to feed DJ Moore religiously like he did last when he had nine catches, 159 yards, and a touchdown. Over the last six weeks, Moore has combined for four touchdowns anyway, but knowing how important this game will be to the Bears’ offense makes the +135 price stronger for us.

Breece Hall (+155)

I’m somewhat convinced that Breece Hall is the only player capable of scoring a touchdown for the Jets in their current state. They can’t get anyone open or have a competent quarterback, feeding into what we need from Hall. In potentially snowy conditions in New England on Sunday, Hall could see north of 75% of the offensive touches between a 20-carry day and consistent short-yardage passes. It wouldn’t shock me if he easily broke 25 touches, making the +155 price for him to find the endzone worthwhile.

Jalen Hurts (+125)

The Philadelphia Eagles are spiraling out of control, and I don’t think they would sit the starters at any point of the game, considering the playoffs are a week away, and they need a ton fixed. Plus, if the Cowboys somehow lose to the Commanders, they can still win the NFC East. Jalen Hurts to find the endzone last week was around -250 and now is +125, signaling that the books expect the starters to sit down in the second half. However, that will only occur if the offense shows some rhythm in the first half to convince the coaches that they can put out a competent offense in a playoff game. I’ll roll the dice here as I think three first-half touchdowns and a simultaneous Cowboys blowout would have the starters resting in the second half, so getting Hurts at +125 to be one of those three touchdowns is excellent value.

CeeDee Lamb + Josh Allen (+190)

I’ve bet this parlay for four straight weeks, and it’s cashed each time, so I have to share the wealth for the regular season finale. Looking back at the last eight weeks, this parlay would have cashed seven times in total, so getting this at +190 when the Cowboys need a win to lock up the division and the Bills need a win to take home the AFC East title is a bet I can’t pass up. Let’s throw two units on this parlay.