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MLB · 2 weeks ago

Atlanta Braves vs. Texas Rangers Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid-Staff

Braves @ Rangers – First Pitch: 8:05 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Clear Sky, 81°
 

Get ready for an exciting MLB showdown today between the Atlanta Braves and the Texas Rangers. On the mound for the Braves, we have Spencer Strider, who has been nothing short of sensational, while the Rangers will counter with Nathan Eovaldi, who has been equally impressive. The Braves are currently the favorites with a -152 price on the road, and the total is listed at 7.5.

Eovaldi has been turning heads with his extraordinary performance over the past 30 days, boasting an xFIP of 2.99 and a 27% strikeout percentage. His ability to control the game, both against lefties and righties, is reflected in his excellent weighted on-base percentage and ISO power numbers.

On the other side, Strider’s numbers have been staggering. Over the past 30 days, against more than 115 batters, his K rate is 44%, and his xFIP is an impressive 2.45. His ISO power numbers are also commendable, with lefties at .087 and righties at .081.

Given these players’ recent form, an under might be on the cards for this game in Texas. Strider, arguably the best starting pitcher in baseball at the moment, has been posting some ridiculous numbers. And while Atlanta has been known to strike out a bit, they’ve also demonstrated their ability to crush the ball. Eovaldi, a known strikeout pitcher, has even improved his numbers this year.

It might be worth considering a first five under, given the unreliability of both teams’ bullpens. Moreover, backing Atlanta in the first five could be a little pricey, but it could be well worth it with Strider on the mound. 

 

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

  Spread Total Moneyline  
 Braves -1.5  +118  O 7.5  -110  -153  Open
+111  7.5  -107  -152  Current
 Rangers +1.5   -141  U 7.5  -109  +131  Open
 -133  7.5   -113  +131  Current

Projected Lineups:

Braves

Starting Pitcher: Spencer Strider: 4-1, 2.51 ERA, 15.24 K/9

1. RF  Ronald Acuña Jr.   .348, 10 HR, 26 RBI
2. 1B  Matt Olson   .236, 11 HR, 30 RBI
3. 3B  Austin Riley   .239, 7 HR, 20 RBI
4. DH  Sean Murphy   .268, 10 HR, 34 RBI
5. LF  Eddie Rosario   .250, 3 HR, 11 RBI
6. 2B  Ozzie Albies   .265, 10 HR, 30 RBI
7. C  Travis d’Arnaud   .302, 0 HR, 5 RBI
8. CF  Michael Harris II   .206, 1 HR, 5 RBI
9. SS  Orlando Arcia   .342, 3 HR, 11 RBI

 

Rangers

Starting Pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi: 5-2, 2.70 ERA, 9.45 K/9

1. 2B  Marcus Semien   .296, 7 HR, 35 RBI
2. LF  Robbie Grossman   .252, 5 HR, 22 RBI
3. 1B  Nathaniel Lowe   .265, 5 HR, 27 RBI
4. RF  Adolis García   .252, 11 HR, 44 RBI
5. 3B  Josh Jung   .250, 8 HR, 25 RBI
6. C  Jonah Heim   .313, 6 HR, 31 RBI
7. SS  Ezequiel Duran   .292, 6 HR, 20 RBI
8. CF  Leody Taveras   .297, 1 HR, 13 RBI
9. DH  Josh H. Smith   .209, 2 HR, 3 RBI

Betting Insights:

Braves

  • The Atlanta Braves are 12-4 (.750) on the road as a favorite in 2023
  • The over hit in 3 of the Atlanta Braves last 5 games on the road in 2023

Rangers

  • The over hit in 5 of the Texas Rangers last 5 games at home in 2023
  • The Texas Rangers are 3-2 (.600) at home as an underdog in their last five games in 2023

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