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MLB · 3 weeks ago

Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid-Staff

Rockies @ Mets – First Pitch: 7:10 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Broken Clouds, 55°
 

Mets Desperate for a Win

The Mets are itching for a bounce-back, and boy, do they need it! They’re coming in as -234 favorites, but their lineup has been struggling lately across three straight losses. In this matchup, we’ve got a pitcher making his debut this year, Antonio Senzatela, against the Mets’ floundering lineup.

Senga vs. Rockies’ Bats

Focusing on the Rockies’ hitters, they’re facing off against pitcher Kodai Senga, who sports a 4.83 XFIP. He’s got a decent K rate at 25%, but the real story lies in the breakdown against righties and lefties. As a right-handed pitcher, Senga has dominated right-handed batters, with a .290 weighted on-base percentage.

Lefties: The Rockies’ Achilles’ Heel

The problem for the Rockies is that their lineup is seriously lacking lefties. Charlie Blackmon, Jurickson Profar, and Ryan McMahon are the only three batters expected to hit from the left-hand side, which includes switch hitters. This lack of left-handed batters might be their downfall against Senga, who’s shown exceptional skill against right-handed batters.

Will Sega Cruise Through?

With the way things are shaping up, Senga just might have an easy cruise through this game, thanks to his dominance over right-handed batters. The Rockies will have to dig deep if they want to overcome the Mets’ struggling lineup and find a way to hit against Senga’s strengths.

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

  Spread Total Moneyline  
 Rockies +1.5  -104  O 8.5  -111  +199  Open
-108  8.5  -106  +193  Current
 Mets -1.5   -116  U 8.5  -110  -245  Open
 -112  8.5   -114  -234  Current

Projected Lineups:

Rockies

Starting Pitcher: Antonio Senzatela: 3-7, 5.07 ERA, 5.26 K/9 – 2022 Stats

1. DH  Charlie Blackmon   .280, 3 HR, 11 RBI
2. LF  Jurickson Profar   .211, 3 HR, 10 RBI
3. RF  Kris Bryant   .309, 4 HR, 10 RBI
4. 1B  C.J. Cron   .250, 6 HR, 16 RBI
5. 3B  Ryan McMahon   .215, 4 HR, 14 RBI
6. CF  Yonathan Daza   .270, 0 HR, 7 RBI
7. 2B  Alan Trejo   .238, 0 HR, 8 RBI
8. SS  Ezequiel Tovar   .222, 1 HR, 11 RBI
9. C  Brian Serven   .130, 0 HR, 1 RBI

Mets

Starting Pitcher: Kodai Senga: 3-1, 4.15 ERA, 11.08 K/9

1. CF  Brandon Nimmo   .302, 2 HR, 13 RBI
2. RF  Starling Marte   .228, 1 HR, 8 RBI
3. SS  Francisco Lindor   .212, 5 HR, 24 RBI
4. 1B  Pete Alonso   .244, 11 HR, 28 RBI
5. LF  Jeff McNeil   .286, 2 HR, 10 RBI
6. DH  Daniel Vogelbach   .267, 1 HR, 12 RBI
7. 3B  Brett Baty   .311, 2 HR, 4 RBI
8. 2B  Luis Guillorme   .217, 0 HR, 2 RBI
9. C  Francisco Alvarez   .200, 1 HR, 4 RBI

Betting Insights:

Rockies

  • The over hit in 1 of the Colorado Rockies last 5 games on the road in 2023
  • The Colorado Rockies are 5-11 (.313) on the road as an underdog in 2023

Mets

  • The over hit in 4 of the New York Mets last 12 games at home in 2023
  • The New York Mets are 2-3 (.400) at home as a favorite in their last five games in 2023

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