Sportsgrid-Staff

Updated AL West Odds Analysis

<div class="game_preview_section sport_mlb" data-sr_id="38064237" data-sd_id="68820">
<div>
<h2>Pirates @ Tigers &#8211; First Pitch: 6:40 p.m.</h2>
</div>
<div>Expected Forecast: Broken Clouds, 60°</div>
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<div> </div>
<div>
<p>The <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/mlb" target='_blank' rel="noopener">MLB</a> showdown between the <strong>Pittsburgh Pirates</strong> and the <strong>Detroit Tigers</strong> as they prepare to take the field with <strong>Luis Ortiz</strong> and <strong>Michael Lorenzen</strong> headlining the pitching matchups. With the Tigers slightly favored at <strong>-124,</strong> according to FanDuel Sportsbook, and a total of <strong>9 runs</strong> expected, this could be an interesting game for bettors.</p>
<p>Lorenzen, pitching for the Tigers, has been solid this season and has extensive experience against the Pirates from his time with the Cincinnati Reds. The Pirates&#8217; lineup might give him a challenge, but the Tigers&#8217; bullpen has displayed impressive resilience. Surprisingly, both teams&#8217; bullpens have shown reasonable efficiency in terms of team ERA.</p>
<p>Ortiz, the Pirates&#8217; pitcher, might not be a high-strikeout player, but his effectiveness should not be underestimated. His high <strong>xFIP</strong> of <strong>5.78</strong> and struggles against left-handed batters might pose challenges, but the Tigers&#8217; lineup isn&#8217;t especially strong against right-hand pitching, which could be Ortiz&#8217;s advantage.</p>
<p>A key player to watch out for in the Pirates&#8217; lineup is <strong>Jack Suwinski,</strong> with an impressive elevated <strong>ISO power</strong> number of <strong>.386</strong>. However, the Pirates&#8217; overall performance against right-hand pitching has been underwhelming in the past 30 days, with several players, such as <strong>Tucupita Marcano</strong> and <strong>Connor Joe,</strong> displaying relatively low <strong>ISO power</strong> numbers of <strong>.178</strong> and <strong>.197,</strong> respectively.</p>
<p>The Tigers, while they can field several left-handed batters against Ortiz, are not performing well overall. Apart from <strong>Andy Ibáñez,</strong> with an <strong>ISO power</strong> number of <strong>.188</strong>, all other estimated players in the lineup are underperforming against right-handed pitching.</p>
<p>Given these conditions, betting on the <strong>under</strong> could be a more promising strategy for this game. If it takes 10 runs to lose this bet, then so be it, but the under seems to hold more potential value.</p>
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<div class="game_preview_section sport_mlb" data-sr_id="38064237" data-sd_id="68820">
<div>
<h2>Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:</h2>
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<div>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<th width="150px"> </th>
<th colspan="2" width="100px">Spread</th>
<th colspan="2" width="100px">Total</th>
<th width="100px">Moneyline</th>
<th width="100px"> </th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2"> Pirates</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="right">+1.5 </td>
<td align="right">-192 </td>
<td align="right">O 8.5 </td>
<td align="right">-116 </td>
<td align="center">+101</td>
<td> Open</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right">-189 </td>
<td align="right">9 </td>
<td align="right">+100 </td>
<td align="center">+106</td>
<td> Current</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2"> Tigers</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="right">-1.5 </td>
<td align="right"> +162 </td>
<td align="right">U 8.5 </td>
<td align="right">-103 </td>
<td align="center">-120</td>
<td> Open</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right"> +158 </td>
<td align="right">9 </td>
<td align="right"> -120 </td>
<td align="center">-124</td>
<td> Current</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<div>
<h2>Projected Lineups:</h2>
<h3>Pirates</h3>
<p><b>Starting Pitcher:</b> Luis L. Ortiz: 0-1, 3.60 ERA, 1.80 K/9 </p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">1.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">3B</td>
<td width="200px"> Ke&#8217;Bryan Hayes</td>
<td width="180px">  .235, 1 HR, 10 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">2.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">LF</td>
<td width="200px"> Bryan Reynolds</td>
<td width="180px">  .293, 5 HR, 23 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">3.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">DH</td>
<td width="200px"> Andrew McCutchen</td>
<td width="180px">  .246, 7 HR, 18 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">4.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">1B</td>
<td width="200px"> Carlos Santana</td>
<td width="180px">  .239, 2 HR, 21 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">5.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">CF</td>
<td width="200px"> Jack Suwinski</td>
<td width="180px">  .235, 7 HR, 20 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">6.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">RF</td>
<td width="200px"> Connor Joe</td>
<td width="180px">  .261, 5 HR, 13 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">7.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">SS</td>
<td width="200px"> Rodolfo Castro</td>
<td width="180px">  .250, 4 HR, 14 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">8.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">2B</td>
<td width="200px"> Ji Hwan Bae</td>
<td width="180px">  .243, 2 HR, 11 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">9.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">C</td>
<td width="200px"> Austin Hedges</td>
<td width="180px">  .150, 0 HR, 4 RBI</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p></p>
<h3>Tigers</h3>
<p><b>Starting Pitcher:</b> Michael Lorenzen: 1-2, 4.18 ERA, 6.11 K/9 </p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">1.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">2B</td>
<td width="200px"> Zach McKinstry</td>
<td width="180px">  .273, 2 HR, 6 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">2.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">CF</td>
<td width="200px"> Riley Greene</td>
<td width="180px">  .279, 3 HR, 15 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">3.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">SS</td>
<td width="200px"> Javier Báez</td>
<td width="180px">  .254, 3 HR, 18 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">4.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">1B</td>
<td width="200px"> Spencer Torkelson</td>
<td width="180px">  .231, 3 HR, 17 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">5.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">3B</td>
<td width="200px"> Nick Maton</td>
<td width="180px">  .153, 4 HR, 16 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">6.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">LF</td>
<td width="200px"> Akil Baddoo</td>
<td width="180px">  .241, 0 HR, 4 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">7.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">RF</td>
<td width="200px"> Matt Vierling</td>
<td width="180px">  .220, 2 HR, 10 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">8.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">DH</td>
<td width="200px"> Andy Ibáñez</td>
<td width="180px">  .295, 1 HR, 5 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">9.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">C</td>
<td width="200px"> Eric Haase</td>
<td width="180px">  .273, 2 HR, 12 RBI</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<div>
<h2>Betting Insights:</h2>
</div>
<h3>Pirates</h3>
<ul>
<li>The Pittsburgh Pirates are 0-5 (.000) on the road as an underdog in their last five games in 2023</li>
<li>The over hit in 2 of the Pittsburgh Pirates last 5 games on the road in 2023</li>
</ul>
<h3>Tigers</h3>
<ul>
<li>The Detroit Tigers are 4-1 (.800) at home as a favorite in their last five games since the start of 2022</li>
<li>The over hit in 2 of the Detroit Tigers last 5 games at home in 2023</li>
</ul>
</div>


Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

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There are plenty of reasons why we see this game staying on the lower-scoring side of the equation

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