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MLB · 2 months ago

SportsGrid Model: Top MLB Player Props For Today (Sept. 28)

Paul Connor

Paul Connor

SportsGrid Model: Top MLB Player Props For Today (Sept. 28)

Diving into today’s MLB matchups, we’re spotlighting a few selections based on SportsGrid’s best MLB player props today. We employ a star rating system to evaluate each pick’s success likelihood.

While our home run prop winning streak was halted last night, Baltimore Orioles outfielder Austin Hays (more on him soon) drove in his 67th run, coming through for us at plus money.

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Let’s begin in Toronto, where the reigning AL MVP will look to continue his dominance at Rogers Centre.

Note: All odds and props courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

NYY Aaron Judge OVER 0.5 HRs @ Blue Jays (+255)

  • He has hit 37 home runs in 103 games this season
  • 9.6 AB/HR is the second-best of his career
  • He has hit 18 home runs in 42 career games at Rogers Centre, including two in last night’s victory
  • He is hitting .478 with five home runs over his past seven games
  • He is hitting .333 with six home runs against Blue Jays pitching this season
  • Blue Jays right-handed starter Chris Bassitt has allowed a career-high 28 home runs this season
  • Bassitt has allowed at least one home run in nine of his past 11 starts, including three straight

BAL Austin Hays OVER 0.5 HRs vs. Red Sox (+800)

  • He has hit 16 home runs in 142 games this season
  • He is 6-for-18 (.333) with three home runs in his career against Red Sox left-handed starter Chris Sale
  • Sale has allowed 14 home runs in 97.2 IP this season, 11 of those long balls coming to right-handed batters
  • Sale’s 1.29 HR/9 this season is the second-highest of his career
  • Boston’s bullpen has allowed 78 home runs this season, the eighth-most in MLB

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