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MLB · 1 month ago

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid-Staff

Blue Jays @ Pirates – First Pitch: 6:35 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Broken Clouds, 56°
 

Weather Woes Relief

Pittsburgh is a slight underdog in this showdown, but not by a huge margin. Before we dive into the details, let’s acknowledge that we’re finally getting a break from the bad weather, particularly in the Northeast and Midwest. Both Toronto and Pittsburgh are likely coming into this game pretty heated after being manhandled in recent matchups. Let’s see who takes the win this time.

Pitcher Matchup: Chris Bassitt vs. Rich Hill

Looking at the pitchers, we’ve got Bassitt on the mound with a high 4.93 xFIP. This might make you think he’s struggling against both lefty and righty batters, but the numbers show otherwise. Against lefties, Bassitt has a .276 weighted on-base percentage. Against righties, it’s .217.

On the other side, we’ve got Rich Hill, with a near-five xFIP for the Pirates. He doesn’t strike out many batters and performs well against lefties. However, the Blue Jays lineup is predominantly right-handed, which could spell trouble for Hill. Against righties, he has a .380 weighted on-base percentage.

Offensive Firepower: Guerrero, Chapman & Co.

Just like yesterday, expect some damage in the middle of the lineup. Guerrero and Chapman, both right-handed batters, should be able to do some damage against Hill today. If you’re looking for some RBI props, keep an eye on these guys.

Tight Battle

Both Pittsburgh and Toronto are eager to get back in the win column. With the weather finally clearing up, it’s time to see which team can overcome their recent struggles and seize the day. Keep an eye on the pitcher matchups and offensive firepower as these teams duke it out on the field.

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

  Spread Total Moneyline  
 Blue Jays -1.5  +109  O 9  -104  -147  Open
+111  -106  -142  Current
 Pirates +1.5   -130  U 9  -116  +125  Open
 -132   -114  +121  Current

Projected Lineups:

Blue Jays

Starting Pitcher: Chris Bassitt: 3-2, 5.18 ERA, 7.64 K/9

1. DH  George Springer   .210, 3 HR, 11 RBI
2. SS  Bo Bichette   .331, 7 HR, 22 RBI
3. 1B  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.   .320, 7 HR, 20 RBI
4. 3B  Matt Chapman   .351, 5 HR, 21 RBI
5. LF  Daulton Varsho   .221, 4 HR, 11 RBI
6. C  Alejandro Kirk   .236, 2 HR, 10 RBI
7. RF  Whit Merrifield   .292, 0 HR, 10 RBI
8. 2B  Santiago Espinal   .191, 1 HR, 7 RBI
9. CF  Kevin Kiermaier   .267, 1 HR, 8 RBI

Pirates

Starting Pitcher: Rich Hill: 3-2, 4.45 ERA, 7.52 K/9

1. 3B  Ke’Bryan Hayes   .225, 1 HR, 9 RBI
2. LF  Bryan Reynolds   .325, 5 HR, 23 RBI
3. DH  Andrew McCutchen   .238, 6 HR, 15 RBI
4. 1B  Carlos Santana   .278, 2 HR, 19 RBI
5. CF  Jack Suwinski   .250, 6 HR, 18 RBI
6. RF  Connor Joe   .283, 4 HR, 11 RBI
7. SS  Rodolfo Castro   .271, 3 HR, 12 RBI
8. 2B  Ji Hwan Bae   .253, 2 HR, 9 RBI
9. C  Austin Hedges   .133, 0 HR, 4 RBI

Betting Insights:

Blue Jays

  • The over hit in 4 of the Toronto Blue Jays last 5 games on the road in 2023
  • The Toronto Blue Jays are 1-4 (.200) on the road as a favorite in their last five games in 2023

Pirates

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates are 3-2 (.600) at home as an underdog in their last five games in 2023
  • The over hit in 3 of the Pittsburgh Pirates last 5 games at home in 2023

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