MLB · 3 months ago
Top 2 Home Run Prop Picks for FanDuel’s MLB Tater Tuesday
Julius Hern
Host · Writer
Batter up! It’s MLB Dinger Tuesday over on FanDuel Sportsbook, and SportsGrid has your best home run bets ready for the occasion!
Leading off: Washington Nationals (37-53) third baseman Nathaniel Lowe in the series opener against the middling St. Louis Cardinals (47-43) at Busch Stadium.
Note: All odds are subject to change after the publication of this article.
1. WSN Nathaniel Lowe (+870) @ St. Louis Cardinals
- Lowe homered in his last game against St. Louis May 11.
- Busch Stadium yields the highest career OPS for Lowe across any ballpark in MLB (1.062), and he has homered there once before.
- Expected Cardinals starter Sonny Gray does not heavily favor fastball usage, and has four offspeed pitches in his arsenal. His offspeed run value is -3, ranking in the 13th percentile across baseball.
- Lowe’s expected slugging percentage on offspeed pitches is .491, over 10 points higher than on any other pitch category.
2. BOS Ceddanne Rafaela (+540) vs. Colorado Rockies
- Rafaela homered in each of his last three games, including in the series opener versus Colorado.
- The Curaçaoan has a better home OPS (.809) this season than on the road (.732).
- His barrel percentage (13.3%) and his hard hit percentage (47.3%) rank in the 82nd and 75th percentile in baseball, respectively, according to Baseball Savant
- In his only career appearance at Fenway Park, Rockies projected starter Kyle Freeland allowed three home runs in six innings.
- This season, Freeland’s opponents’ batting average is .322 with an OPS against of .832.
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