Los Angeles Dodgers Chasing 104+ Wins: Can They Still Get There in 2025?

A Sluggish Start for a World Series Favorite

The Dodgers entered the 2025 MLB season with sky-high expectations, fueled by a lineup loaded with star talent and one of the game’s deepest pitching staffs. Fast forward to late April, and things haven’t quite clicked yet. The offense has sputtered outside of consistent production from Tommy Edman, Will Smith, and to some extent, Teoscar Hernández. Injuries have also been a major storyline once again, echoing last year’s frustrating narrative.

Blake Snell’s arm issue appears to be minor, but the timetable suggests we won’t see him until June. Clayton Kershaw remains shelved for the foreseeable future. Given these injuries and the inconsistency at the plate, the once popular bets on the Dodgers topping 104.5 wins are starting to feel a bit shaky.

Are You Buying or Selling Dodgers 104+ Wins?

If you’re holding a 104+ win ticket — or considering jumping in at a recalibrated number — this is a real crossroads moment. The Dodgers are still favored to win the NL West, but a 105-win season requires sustained dominance. Right now, that’s hard to envision.

The division isn’t handing out easy victories either. While the Colorado Rockies remain a soft target, the San Diego Padres, Arizona Diamondbacks, and San Francisco Giants are all legitimate playoff contenders. Every series is a battle. Unlike previous seasons where L.A. could coast past weaker division rivals, 2025’s NL West feels like a street fight. This dynamic severely limits the “free wins" the Dodgers could pile up in years past.

Given the early struggles and growing competition, I’m leaning “sell" on the idea of 104+ wins. Even rooting for the Dodgers to simply crack 100 wins is becoming a sweat.

Betting Outlook: Is 103.5 Still Within Reach?

The current betting line floating around 103.5 wins feels like a critical pivot point. If you’re optimistic, you’re clinging to the hope that a fully healthy roster after June — with Snell, Kershaw, and perhaps even improved hitting from Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman — will ignite a big run.

But the cold reality is this: for the Dodgers to get back on track for 104+ wins, they’d need multiple stretches of eight- to ten-game winning streaks. Given the offensive issues, the injuries, and the strength of the division, those types of heaters feel unlikely. It’s far more plausible that L.A. secures a playoff spot and then strategically rests players down the stretch rather than chasing an inflated win total.

From a betting perspective, I’m selling the Dodgers on 104.5 or even 103.5 wins. They’re still a playoff team, maybe even a division winner, but don’t expect another dominant 110+ win season. It’s time to temper expectations and recalibrate those futures tickets.

Final Word: Root for 104, But Bet With Caution

If you’re already locked into an over 103.5 or 104.5 ticket, sure, root hard for a turnaround. But for those considering new bets, it’s a tough case to make. The Dodgers would need an offensive renaissance and sustained health — two things we haven’t seen yet — to realistically hit those lofty marks.

In 2025, the Dodgers are still a threat. Just not the 110-win juggernaut many envisioned.

Verdict: Sell the 104.5, cautiously hope for 103.5, and look elsewhere for value in the win totals market.

You can read all about what’s going on in Major League Baseball at SportsGrid.com.